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评论优化策略下考虑退货的网络销售商两阶段定价和订货决策研究

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考虑消费者因商品感知差异做出的正负面评论及退货反应,结合其在日常销售阶段与促销阶段的不同行为特点,对两阶段商品购买概率、好(差)评概率以及退货概率进行表述。基于相关概率分析网络销售商不同评论优化策略下利润变化情况,构建销售商两阶段期望利润模型,决策最优的商品价格与订货量,并通过数值分析研究评论优化策略对网络销售商最优决策与利润的影响。研究结果表明:好评鼓励努力水平的提升有利于商品销售价格与折扣率的提高,好评返现金额的提高使得商品销售价格小幅度下降,商品折扣率先提高后下降;评论优化策略会使得折扣率受外部因素的影响程度降低;促销阶段的商品订货量随好评鼓励努力水平的提升而增加,随好评返现金额的变化规律会受到返现金额大小的影响。
Research on Two-stage Pricing and Ordering Decision of Online Sellers Considering Return under Comment Improvement Strategy
The uncertainty of the products'real quality in online shopping makes the issue of product return in online shopping increasingly complex,and more and more products are sold in multiple stages.Considering the influence of early comments on the subsequent stage of product sales and returns,it is necessary to study the joint decision of online sellers'pricing and ordering in the case of flawless returns.Online sellers sell their products in the daily sales stage and promotion stage,online sellers plan to adopt comment improvement strate-gies to beautify the product comments so as to improve the consumer's initial value perception in the next stage.Consumers decide whether to buy a product according to the initial value perception,and make favorable com-ments,negative comments,or return processing according to the perceived differences.Based on the initial value perception of consumers before purchasing products and the perception differences after purchasing,a joint probability density function model of consumers'initial value perception and perceived differences is constructed.Combined with the different behavioral characteristics of consumers in the daily sales stage and promotion stage,the purchase probability,positive(negative)comment probability and returns probability of consumers in the daily sales stage are given.At the same time,the sensitivity of consumers to positive and nega-tive comments is integrated into the model construction,considering the impact of consumer comments in the previous stage on consumers'initial value perception of products in the next stage,the purchase probability and return probability of products in the promotion stage are obtained.The newsboy model is used to build two-stage expected profit models under different comment improvement strategies for online sellers to determine product prices,price discount rates and order quantities.Then,the influence of comment improvement strategy on sellers'optimal decision and profit under stochastic demand is studied by numerical analysis.The results show that:the increase in the effort level of praise encouragement will increase the sales price and discount rate,the increase of the cashback amount of positive comments will reduce the optimal pricing slightly,and the com-modity discount will increase first and then decrease.The improvement strategy will make the discount rate tend to be stable under different parameter values.The optimal order quantity in the promotion stage is positively correlated with the effort level of praise encouragement,while the optimal order quantity may increase or decrease with the cashback amount.The pricing and ordering decision of a seller who sells products in two stages under different comment improvement strategies is studied.Considering the uncertainty of product demand,the influence mechanism of comment improvement strategy and consumer return on the optimal deci-sion is analyzed,which provides a new perspective for the study of comment improvement strategy and returns.

comment improvementreturn goodspricing and ordering decisiontwo-stage salesstochastic demand

王道平、周玉

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北京科技大学经济管理学院,北京 100083

辽宁工程技术大学工商管理学院,辽宁 葫芦岛 125100

评论优化 商品退货 定价与订货量决策 两阶段销售 随机需求

2024

中国管理科学
中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会 中科院科技政策与管理科学研究所

中国管理科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.938
ISSN:1003-207X
年,卷(期):2024.32(11)