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基于AHP-模糊综合评价的蒸汽管网风险评估方法及应用

Risk Assessment and Application of Steam Pipeline Network Based on AHP-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method

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蒸汽管网是石化和电力行业中实现能源利用率最大化的重要途径,风险的准确评估对其安全运行具有重要意义,而当前针对石油化工的风险评估方法对蒸汽管网适用性有限.本文通过考虑蒸汽管网潜在风险类型对失效可能性的影响,提出基于层次分析-模糊综合评价的蒸汽管网风险评估方法,并在某企业蒸汽管网的风险评估中进行应用.结果表明该评估方法更接近蒸汽管网实际情况,从而提高了蒸汽管网风险评估的准确性.
Steam pipeline network is an important way to achieve maximum energy utilization in the petrochemical and power industries.Accurate risk assessment is of great significance for its safe operation.However,the current risk assessment method applied to petrochemical industry has limited applicability to steam pipeline network.Based on analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method,this article proposes a risk assessment method for steam pipeline network by considering the impact of potential risk types on the failure likelihood,which is further applied in a certain enterprise.The results indicate that the evaluation results are closer to the actual situation,and thus improving the accuracy of risk assessment for the steam pipeline network.

Steam pipeline networkRisk assessmentAnalytic hierarchy process(AHP)Fuzzy comprehensive evaluationEngineering application

顾志恩、贺轼、姜海一、刘娟波、高立敏

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浙江浙能镇海发电有限责任公司 宁波 315200

国家市场监管技术创新中心(炼油与化工装备风险防控),中国特种设备检测研究院 北京 100029

杭州培慕科技有限公司 杭州 310000

蒸汽管网 风险评估 层次分析法 模糊综合评价 工程应用

"十四五"国家重点研发计划项目

2021YFC3001805

2024

中国特种设备安全
中国特种设备检测研究中心 中国锅炉水处理协会 中国特种设备检验协会

中国特种设备安全

影响因子:0.28
ISSN:1673-257X
年,卷(期):2024.40(2)
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