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全球绿色贸易、环境规则治理与中国路径选择

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绿色贸易是引领经济增长的新动能,环境规则治理是开展应对气候变化国际合作的关键.本文着眼于环境规则治理与全球绿色贸易之间的深层联系,构建了包含14个一级指标、125个二级指标以及346项具体环境条款的区域环境规则三维数据集,据此测度了17个反映RTA绿色贸易规则动态深化特征的异质性指标,并综合考察了区域环境规则治理深化对全球绿色贸易的影响及其作用机理.结果表明,区域环境规则深化不仅促进了成员国间的绿色贸易增长,而且对外部国家和全球的绿色贸易发展具有正向溢出效应,并在不同产品—规则—国家层面上表现出强烈的异质性.机制分析表明,深度一体化环境规则主要通过非歧视效应、价值链效应以及需求效应对全球绿色贸易产生影响.进一步,对中国参与全球绿色治理不同深化路径下的潜在绿色贸易收益做政策模拟评估发现,RCEP升级对缔约方以及全球绿色贸易的推动作用最为显著,并且随着绿色产品清单的扩展,其带来的促进效应也会增强.本文结论为中国深度参与全球治理与合作、破解国际公共产品供给困境、推动国内绿色发展体制机制改革以及塑造中国在全球的绿色核心竞争力提供了理论基础和经验依据.
Global Green Trade,Governance of Environmental Rules and China's Path Choice
Green trade is a new driving force for economic growth,and environmental rules governance is the key to strengthening international cooperation in addressing climate change.However,the profound connection between the governance of environmental rules and global green trade has not yet been fully confirmed by theories and econometrics,particularly with regard to the endogenous driving effect of the deepening of regional environmental rules on global green trade and green transformation of countries and mechanisms.Therefore,it is necessary to conduct in-depth studies of above issues,which is of great significance for China's in-depth participation in global green governance and the improvement of domestic green development system.This paper constructs a three-dimensional database of regional environmental rules containing 14 primary indicators,125 secondary indicators and 346 specific environmental clauses,and accordingly measures 17 heterogeneity indicators characterizing the dynamic deepening of environmental rules in regional trade agreements.From the global perspective,this paper comprehensively analyzes the impacts and mechanisms of deepening governance of environmental rules on global green trade at both levels of empirical econometric test and ex-ante simulation prediction.The findings of this paper are as follows.The deepening of regional environmental rules not only facilitates the growth of green trade among member countries,but also has positive spillover effects on external countries and the entire world,and the effects show strong heterogeneity among different products,rules and countries.In terms of mechanisms,deep integration of environmental rules mainly affects global green trade through the non-discrimination effect,value chain effect and demand effect.Based on the results of the analysis,this paper further simulates the potential global trade benefits and optimal path choice under different deepening paths of China's participation in global green governance based on the analytical framework of quantitative trade theory.It finds that the upgrading of Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)has the most significant promoting effect on green trade of member countries and the entire world.Moreover,as the list of green products expands,the boosting effect increases.This paper provides policy insights for China's in-depth participation in global governance and cooperation,cracking the dilemma of international public goods supply,reforming domestic green development system and enhancing green core competitiveness.First,the government need strengthen the proactive design of environmental rules and construct a"Chinese text"for regional green economic and trade cooperation.Second,China should actively lead the supply of international green public goods and pragmatically promote the construction of a new international green governance system.Third,China should broaden the scope and depth of green economy and trade cooperation,and accelerate the negotiation and upgrading of green rules in regional trade agreements.Finally,the government should improve the green development system and accelerate aligning domestic environmental rules with international high standard rules.

global green tradegovernance of environmental rulesChina's path choice

韩剑、刘瑞喜、岳文

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南京大学长江三角洲经济社会发展研究中心

南京大学商学院

江南大学商学院

全球绿色贸易 环境规则治理 中国路径选择

教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金

23JJD79000723YJC790183

2024

中国工业经济
中国社会科学院工业经济研究所

中国工业经济

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.932
ISSN:1006-480X
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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