首页|非位似偏好、碳市场与异质性政策协调的减排效应

非位似偏好、碳市场与异质性政策协调的减排效应

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中国经济绿色复苏需要正确处理好"双碳"目标与经济发展之间的关系.基于现实政策背景,本文构建了包含居民消费非位似偏好和异质性生产者的环境动态随机一般均衡模型,探讨非位似偏好下碳市场与宏观经济政策搭配的碳减排效应.研究发现:碳市场通过碳配额影响绿色部门减排约束,激励其产生相对净排放量实现碳减排,且非位似偏好提高会引起绿色消费产生"棘轮效应".进一步研究显示,在绿色技术冲击下,碳市场与其他政策组合的影响幅度提升,政策间更具协同作用.不同政策组合受非位似偏好的影响会产生异质性效应,其中,结构性货币政策与财政绿色信贷贴息政策组合受偏好影响有限,但在引入碳市场政策后可提高降碳速度,在低非位似偏好时将碳市场政策引入该组合不会产生减排效应.福利效应分析发现,非位似偏好提高后产生的跨期替代为低碳生产赋予优势,尤其是包含碳市场的政策组合能使高非位似偏好家庭利用冲击进行跨期替代的能力增强.本文揭示了非位似偏好对政策实施效果的作用,强调了碳市场与宏观经济政策搭配的重要性,为碳市场建设与"一揽子"环境政策协调搭配提供了重要启示.
Emission Reduction Effects of Non-homothetic Preferences,Carbon Market and Heterogeneous Policy Coordination
The green recovery of China's economy requires correctly handling the relationship between the"dual carbon"goal and economic development.This paper reveals the heterogeneous effect of carbon emission reduction when the carbon market,structural monetary policy,and fiscal policy interact under non-homothetic preferences.It also emphasizes the importance of matching the carbon market with monetary and fiscal policies based on consumption and production.The research results have vital theoretical and practical significance for China's policy to achieve the"double carbon"goal.By constructing an E-DSGE model that includes residents'non-homothetic preferences and heterogeneous producers,this paper finds that the carbon market affects the emission reduction constraints of the green sector through carbon quotas,motivating them to produce relative net emissions and achieve carbon emission reduction goals.The increase in non-homothetic preferences has a"ratchet effect"on green consumption,leading to higher consumption levels.Further research shows that under the impact of green technology,the impact of the carbon market combined with other policies increases,and the policies have larger synergistic effects.Under low non-homothetic preference,the structural guiding role of carbon market policies will be ineffective.Finally,the welfare effect analysis shows that the intertemporal substitution mechanism generated by the increase in non-homothetic preferences provides advantages to low-carbon production.In particular,a policy mix that includes the carbon market can enhance the ability of households with high non-homothetic preferences to use shocks for intertemporal substitution.The policy implications of this paper are as follows.First,policy coordination will be the key to achieving better economic and environmental results in the"dual carbon"process.Therefore,carbon market should consider the content and timing of implementing other macroeconomic policies when regulating carbon quotas.Second,monetary policy incorporating emission reduction targets plays a crucial role in promoting emission reduction and the green transformation of the economic structure.The central bank should encourage social capital to flow into key carbon reduction areas.Third,the fiscal system needs to enrich the sources and investment channels of funds related to"dual carbon".The fiscal department needs to consider the coordination of the fiscal system with the emissions trading scheme(ETS),carbon tariff,and boundary adjustment mechanism.Fourth,the government should advocate low-carbon consumption among the public and promote consumption upgrades to release the green consumption potential.The contributions of this paper are mainly reflected in the following aspects.First,this paper innovatively studies the effect of different macroeconomic policy combinations on carbon emission reduction based on differences in demand structures.This helps to make the theoretical model more realistic and discover some results that do not exist under the single preference hypothesis,which has unique theoretical value for expanding the field of carbon market research.Second,based on the realistic foundation of carbon market operation and related emission reduction policies,this paper constructs heterogeneous producers'E-DSGE model,including ETS,structural monetary policy,and fiscal policy.These settings and tests help theoretically expand research on the emission reduction effects of heterogeneous policy combinations.Third,it further explores the welfare costs caused by implementing"package"policies and expands the current analysis boundaries of the welfare effects of a single policy.

non-homothetic preferencescarbon marketstructural monetary policygreen credit interest discount policyemission reduction effect

马广程、曹建华、丁徐轶

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上海财经大学城市与区域科学学院

非位似偏好 碳市场 结构性货币政策 财政绿色信贷贴息政策 减排效应

国家社会科学基金后期资助项目上海市哲学社会科学规划项目中央高校基本科研业务费专项重点项目

21FJYB0572021BJB003CXJJ-2023-430

2024

中国工业经济
中国社会科学院工业经济研究所

中国工业经济

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.932
ISSN:1006-480X
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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