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基于协调度的海上专业救助力量部署决策研究

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针对当前海洋生产结构调整带来的海上救助需求变化和缺少救助力量部署决策工具等问题,提出一种基于协调度的海上救助力量部署复合决策方法.通过建立协调度评价模型对救助单元救助能力和海上救助需求进行协调性分析,运用层次分析法(AHP)对海洋经济发展中存在的海上救助需求进行评价,使用基本图形分析法建立各海洋产业对不同等级的专业海洋救助船的需求模型,构造空间分布.运用此方法对专业救助力量实际值守海域进行计算及分析,进一步优化部署方案.结果表明:通过此方法得到的部署决策意见与多数可查的海上救助应急处置情况十分接近,验证了该方法的有效性.
Decision-making of deployment of marine rescue force based on the coordination degree
In order to address the issues of marine rescue demand changing in adjustment of marine production structure and less deployment tools of marine salvage team,based on the study of the experts,this paper proposes a deployment method based on the coordination degree.Firstly,aiming at constructing the dynamic deployment method evaluation system which is suitable for marine salvage team and the marine industries,this paper measures the coordinated development degree of marine rescue needs and abilities of marine rescue units by using the coordinated development model,estimates the weight of marine rescue needs in different time period by using AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process),constructs the spatial distribution of the urgency of rescue needs with graphics analytical method.Finally,by using this method to analyze the practical deployment problems,this paper proposes a better deployment solution.The result shows that the decision making of marine rescue force deployment,by this method,is similar with most marine emergency cases and verifies the effectiveness of the method proposed in this paper for decision making of marine rescue force deployment.

waterway transportationdeployment decision-makingcoordination degreemarine salvage teamAnalytic Hierarchy Process

邵年骏、宁君、田辉

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交通运输部南海救助局,广东广州 510235

大连海事大学辽宁省海上应急技术重点实验室,辽宁大连 116026

大连海事大学航海学院,辽宁大连 116026

交通运输部救助打捞局,北京 100736

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水路运输 部署决策 协调度 海上专业救助力量 层次分析法

国家自然科学基金重点项目国家自然科学基金面上项目国家自然科学基金面上项目

519390015217129252271304

2024

中国航海
中国航海学会

中国航海

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.458
ISSN:1000-4653
年,卷(期):2024.47(1)
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