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"一带一路"倡议对沿线国家集装箱海运连通性的影响研究

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为研究"一带一路"倡议(BRI)对沿线国家集装箱海运连通性的影响,基于2010~2020年127个国家的面板数据,运用渐进双重差分法对该影响效应进行研究.研究表明,"一带一路"倡议显著地促进了中国同沿线国家之间的集装箱海运连通性,并且这种促进作用呈逐年递增的趋势.在经过平行趋势检验和一系列的稳健性检验后该结果依然是稳健的.异质性分析结果显示,"一带一路"倡议主要促进了中国同欧洲和大洋洲国家之间的集装箱海运连通性;对发展中国家的连通性具有显著的促进作用.
The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on container shipping connectivity enjoyed by the countries along the route
The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)on container shipping connectivity is studied based on 2010~2020 panel data from 127 counties along the route.The time-varying difference-in-differences model is used for the research.The findings are as follows:the BRI has significantly accelerated the development of container shipping connectivity between China and the countries along the route and the effect of acceleration went up every year;the parallel trend test and a series of robustness tests proved the robustness of the conclusion;the heterogeneity analysis shows that BRI have mainly improved sea shipping connectivity between China and European and Oceania countries;the effect is more significant for developing countries.

the Belt and Road Initiativecontainer shipping connectivitytime-varying difference-in-differences modelheterogeneity analysis

黄顺泉、王冰

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上海海事大学经济管理学院,上海 201306

临沂大学商学院,山东临沂 276000

"一带一路"倡议 集装箱海运连通性 渐进双重差分 异质性分析

国家社会科学基金

23BJY130

2024

中国航海
中国航海学会

中国航海

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.458
ISSN:1000-4653
年,卷(期):2024.47(1)
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