中国航海2024,Vol.47Issue(1) :97-102,110.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2024.01.012

"一带一路"倡议对沿线国家集装箱海运连通性的影响研究

The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on container shipping connectivity enjoyed by the countries along the route

黄顺泉 王冰
中国航海2024,Vol.47Issue(1) :97-102,110.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2024.01.012

"一带一路"倡议对沿线国家集装箱海运连通性的影响研究

The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on container shipping connectivity enjoyed by the countries along the route

黄顺泉 1王冰2
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作者信息

  • 1. 上海海事大学经济管理学院,上海 201306
  • 2. 上海海事大学经济管理学院,上海 201306;临沂大学商学院,山东临沂 276000
  • 折叠

摘要

为研究"一带一路"倡议(BRI)对沿线国家集装箱海运连通性的影响,基于2010~2020年127个国家的面板数据,运用渐进双重差分法对该影响效应进行研究.研究表明,"一带一路"倡议显著地促进了中国同沿线国家之间的集装箱海运连通性,并且这种促进作用呈逐年递增的趋势.在经过平行趋势检验和一系列的稳健性检验后该结果依然是稳健的.异质性分析结果显示,"一带一路"倡议主要促进了中国同欧洲和大洋洲国家之间的集装箱海运连通性;对发展中国家的连通性具有显著的促进作用.

Abstract

The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)on container shipping connectivity is studied based on 2010~2020 panel data from 127 counties along the route.The time-varying difference-in-differences model is used for the research.The findings are as follows:the BRI has significantly accelerated the development of container shipping connectivity between China and the countries along the route and the effect of acceleration went up every year;the parallel trend test and a series of robustness tests proved the robustness of the conclusion;the heterogeneity analysis shows that BRI have mainly improved sea shipping connectivity between China and European and Oceania countries;the effect is more significant for developing countries.

关键词

"一带一路"倡议/集装箱海运连通性/渐进双重差分/异质性分析

Key words

the Belt and Road Initiative/container shipping connectivity/time-varying difference-in-differences model/heterogeneity analysis

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基金项目

国家社会科学基金(23BJY130)

出版年

2024
中国航海
中国航海学会

中国航海

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.458
ISSN:1000-4653
参考文献量19
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