Risk Assessment of Deep-Water Horizontal X-Tree Installation

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万方数据
维普

外文摘要：Due to the high potential risk and many influencing factors of subsea horizontal X-tree installation,to guarantee the successful completion of sea trials of domestic subsea horizontal X-trees,this paper established a modular risk evaluation model based on a fuzzy fault tree.First,through the analysis of the main process oftree down and combining the Offshore&Onshore Reliability Data(OREDA)failure statistics and the operation procedure and the data provided by the job,the fault tree model of risk analysis of the tree down installation was established.Then,by introducing the natural language of expert comprehensive evaluation and combining fuzzy principles,quantitative analysis was carried out,and the fuzzy number was used to calculate the failure probability of a basic event and the occurrence probability of a top event.Finally,through a sensitivity analysis of basic events,the basic events of top events significantly affected were determined,and risk control and prevention measures for the corresponding high-risk factors were pro-posed for subsea horizontal X-tree down installation.

外文关键词：

subsea horizontal X-treerisk assessmentfuzzy fault treemodular risk evaluation model

作者：

MENG Wen-bo、FU Guang-ming、HUANG Yi、LIU Shu-jie、HUANG Liang、GAO Yong-hai

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作者单位：

CNOOC China Limited,Zhanjiang Branch,Zhanjiang 524057,China

Key Laboratory of Unconventional Oil and Gas Development,Ministry of Education(China University of Petroleum(East China)),Qingdao 266580,China

基金：

National Ministry of Industry and Information Technology Innovation Special ProjectKey Research and Development Program of Shandong Province(Major Innovation Project)Key Research and Development Program of Shandong Province(Major Innovation Project)

项目编号：

MC-201901-S01-042022CXGC0204052023CXGC010415

出版年：

2024

DOI：

10.1007/s13344-024-0018-x

中国海洋工程(英文版)

中国海洋学会

中国海洋工程(英文版)

CSTPCDEI

影响因子：0.338

ISSN：0890-5487

年,卷(期)：2024.38(2)

参考文献量33