首页|应用决策树-Markov模型分析1剂次和2剂次水痘减毒活疫苗免疫策略的成本效用

应用决策树-Markov模型分析1剂次和2剂次水痘减毒活疫苗免疫策略的成本效用

扫码查看
目的 分析1剂次和2剂次水痘减毒活疫苗(Varicella attenuated live vaccine,VarV)免疫策略的成本效用.方法 构建中国2022年出生队列VarV免疫策略的成本效用决策树-Markov模型,估算不接种、1剂次接种和2剂次接种策略的成本和效用[质量调整生命年(Quality-adjusted life year,QALY)],分析1剂次和2剂次接种策略与不接种策略相比的增量成本效用比(Incremental cost-utility ratio,ICUR).结果 VarV不接种、1剂次接种、2剂次接种策略的总成本分别为4 913 056.1万元、1 037 068.8万元、814 521.6万元,产生的总效用分别为73 841.4万QALY、74 013.5万QALY、74 023.1万QALY.1剂次、2剂次接种与不接种相比的ICUR分别为-22 524.3元/QALY、-22 564.1元/QALY,单因素敏感性分析显示贴现率、门诊无并发症治疗费用和门诊有并发症效用值为影响ICUR的主要参数.结论 实施1剂次和2剂次VarV免疫策略均具有较好的成本效用并节省成本.
Cost-utility analysis of 1-dose and 2-dose varicella attenuated live vaccine immunization strategies using a decision tree-Markov cohort model
Objective To analyze the cost-utility of 1-dose and 2-dose varicella attenuated live vaccine(VarV)immunization strategies.Methods We constructed a cost-utility decision tree-Markov model of VarV immunization strategies for the 2022 Chinese birth cohort and estimated the cost and utility[Quality-adjusted life year(QALY)]of none,1-dose,and 2-dose immunization strategies.We determined incremental cost-utility ratios(ICURs)of 1-dose and 2-dose immunization strategies.Results Total cost of 0-dose,1-dose.,and 2-dose VarV vaccination strategies were 49 130.561,10 370.688,and 8 145.216 million yuan,respectively,yielding utilities of 738.414,740.135,and 740.231 million QALYs.ICURs for 1-dose and 2-dose vaccination strategies compared with no vaccination were-22 524.3 and-22 564.1 yuan per QALY.Univariate sensitivity analysis showed that discount rate,treatment costs for outpatients without complications,and utility value for outpatients with complications were the main parameters influencing ICUR.Conclusions Both 1-dose and 2-dose VarV immunization strategies had good cost-utility and would save money.

Varicella attenuated live vaccineCost-utility analysisDecision tree-Markov model

张夏晴、邵灵、秦伟、王瑶、潘璠、陈亚飞、张欢、邵淼慧、程凯、吕勇

展开 >

安徽医科大学公共卫生学院,安徽合肥 230032

六安市疾病预防控制中心,安徽六安 237001

安徽医科大学第一附属医院,安徽合肥 230022

六安市预防医学会,安徽六安 237001

展开 >

水痘减毒活疫苗 成本效用分析 决策树-Markov模型

2024

中国疫苗和免疫
中国疾病预防控制中心

中国疫苗和免疫

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:2.311
ISSN:1006-916X
年,卷(期):2024.30(2)
  • 41