首页|"三孩"生育政策下社交媒体使用对大湾区居民生育意愿的影响因素研究

"三孩"生育政策下社交媒体使用对大湾区居民生育意愿的影响因素研究

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目的:探究"三孩"人口生育政策下社交媒体对大湾区居民生育意愿及相关因素的影响.方法:采用自制问卷于2021年11月—2022年9月,在大湾区9市随机抽取育龄人群进行调查,调查内容包括一般人口学资料和居民社交媒体使用情况,以及三孩政策背景下居民的生育意愿及可能影响因素.结果:共发放调查问卷3656份,收回有效问卷3556份,回收率为97.3%.其中,不想生育的居民有318人(8.9%),选择理想子女数为1个的有782人(22.0%),2个的有2085人(58.6%),3个及以上的有371人(10.4%).3年内有生育打算的居民中,已育有一孩者占38.0%,高于已育二孩者(15.2%)(P<0.001).不同年龄、性别、文化程度、婚姻状况、户籍、工作性质、家庭年收入和社交媒体使用时长的居民,其理想子女数有差异(P<0.05).社交媒体使用对居民生育意愿的影响较大,logistic回归模型分析显示,居民合理社交媒体使用时长是理想子女数的促进因素.结论:大湾区居民生育二孩的意愿较强烈,生育三孩的意愿处于较低水平.居民生育意愿与社交媒体使用情况相关,也受家庭生育计划、年龄、文化程度、家庭年收入、工作稳定性等影响.政府应重视社交媒体对居民生育意愿的影响,提高居民的生育意愿.
Research on the influence factors of the social media on the fertility intention of the residents in Greater bay area under the three-child policy
Objective:To explore the influence of the social media on the fertility intentions and its related factors of the residents in Greater bay area under the three-child policy.Methods:A self-designed questionnaire was used in this in-vestigation.From November 2021 to September 2022,the people of childbearing age in 9 cities of the Greater bay area were randomly selected in this investigation.The content of the investigation included the general demographic data and the social media used situation,as well as the fertility intention and its possible influencing factors of the residents in the Greater bay area under the three-child policy.Results:A total of 3656 questionnaires were distributed and 3556 val-id questionnaires were returned,with an effective rate of 97.3%.Among them,there were 318(8.9%)residents with-out the intention of any child,782(22.0%)residents with the intention of one child,2085(58.6%)residents with the intention of two children and 371(10.4%)residents with the intention of three or more children.Among the residents who planned to have child within three years,the proportion(38.0%)of the respondents with one child was significantly higher than that(15.2%)of the respondents with two children(P<0.001).There was significant differ-ence in the ideal number of children among the residents with different age,between the residents with different gen-der,among the residents with different education levels,among the residents with different marital status,among the residents with different household registration situations,among the residents with different job nature,among the residents with different family annual household income and among the residents with different social media used time(P<0.05).The social media used of the residents had greater impact on their fertility intention,logistic regression model analysis showed that the duration of the social media used of the residents was correlated with their ideal number of children.Conclusion:The residents in Greater bay area have strong intention to the second child,but have low in-tention to the third child.The fertility intention of the residents is related to their social media used situation,and which is also affected by their family planning,age,education level,annual family income and job stability,and so on.The government should pay attention to the impact of the social media used of the residents on their fertility intention,so as to improve the fertility intention.

Resident in Greater bay areaFertility intentionSocial mediaInfluence factor

林秀红、倪孚镛、章林知、冯晓奇、王思宇、莫丽春、罗俊杰、邹燕

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深圳市卫生健康发展研究和数据管理中心(518028)

博科尼大学

悉尼大学

香港中文大学

国家卫生健康委科学技术研究所

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大湾区居民 生育意愿 社交媒体 影响因素

广东省哲学社会科学规划项目(十四五)深圳市卫生经济学会科研基金

GD21CSH10202286

2024

中国计划生育学杂志
国家人口计生委科学技术研究所

中国计划生育学杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.759
ISSN:1004-8189
年,卷(期):2024.32(5)
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