Human infection model with the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant
This paper proposed a mathematical model to predict the infection of Omicron variant to social population.The model parameters can be used to characterize the immune escape property of Omicron variant,and the basic reproductive ratio can be computed by the next-generation matrix method.According to the stability theory of ordinary differential equations,it was concluded that epidemic stationary point of the model is globally progressive stable.Based on the public epidemic data released by the National Health Commission and the population census data of Xiamen,the model parameters were assigned and used to predict the trends of the COVID-19 infection in Xiamen from December 2022 to July 2023.The study provides the mathematical model technical supports for the local government departments to optimize the epidemic prevention and control strategies.
lemologybasic reproductive ratioSARS-CoV-2stability theory
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
