中国科学:地球科学(英文版)2024,Vol.67Issue(12) :3727-3764.DOI:10.1007/s11430-023-1375-2

Short-term solar eruptive activity prediction models based on machine learning approaches:A review

Xin HUANG Zhongrui ZHAO Yufeng ZHONG Long XU Marianna B.KORSÓS & R.ERDÉLYI
中国科学:地球科学(英文版)2024,Vol.67Issue(12) :3727-3764.DOI:10.1007/s11430-023-1375-2

Short-term solar eruptive activity prediction models based on machine learning approaches:A review

Xin HUANG 1Zhongrui ZHAO 2Yufeng ZHONG 3Long XU 1Marianna B.KORSÓS 4& R.ERDÉLYI5
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science,Ningbo University,Ningbo 315211,China;State Key Laboratory of Space Weather,National Space Science Center,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China
  • 2. State Key Laboratory of Space Weather,National Space Science Center,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China;School of Astronomy and Space Science,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China;Beijing Cellular Exploration Science and Technology Center,Beijing 100190,China
  • 3. State Key Laboratory of Space Weather,National Space Science Center,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China;School of Astronomy and Space Science,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China
  • 4. Dipartimento di Fisica e Astronomia"Ettore Majorana",Università di Catania,Catania Ⅰ 95123,Italy;Department of Astronomy,Eötvös Loránd University,Budapest H-1112,Hungary;Hungarian Solar Physics Foundation,Gyula H-5700,Hungary
  • 5. Department of Astronomy,Eötvös Loránd University,Budapest H-1112,Hungary;Hungarian Solar Physics Foundation,Gyula H-5700,Hungary;Solar Physics & Space Plasma Research Center(SP2RC),School of Mathematics and Statistics,University of Sheffield,Sheffield S3 7RH,UK
  • 折叠

Abstract

Solar eruptive activities,mainly including solar flares,coronal mass ejections(CME),and solar proton events(SPE),have an important impact on space weather and our technosphere.The short-term solar eruptive activity prediction is an active field of research in the space weather prediction.Numerical,statistical,and machine learning methods are proposed to build prediction models of the solar eruptive activities.With the development of space-based and ground-based facilities,a large amount of observational data of the Sun is accumulated,and data-driven prediction models of solar eruptive activities have made a significant progress.In this review,we briefly introduce the machine learning algorithms applied in solar eruptive activity prediction,summarize the prediction modeling process,overview the progress made in the field of solar eruptive activity prediction model,and look forward to the possible directions in the future.

Key words

Solar flare/Coronal mass ejection/Solar proton event/Machine learning/Prediction model

引用本文复制引用

出版年

2024
中国科学:地球科学(英文版)
中国科学院

中国科学:地球科学(英文版)

影响因子:1.002
ISSN:1674-7313
段落导航相关论文