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Survival analysis of car travel time near a bus stop in developing countries

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This paper presents an important investigation into car travel time affected by mixed traffic flow near a bus stop on the basis of survival analysis theory.Travel time data associated with mixed traffic characteristics near a bus stop were collected by video cameras.A hazard-based duration model was introduced to analyze the effects of mixed traffic flow on car travel time.The results indicate that mixed traffic flow impacts car travel time significantly.And the presence of bus berthing violation would delay car travel time.The proposed model can be used to forecast temporal shifts in car travel time due to changes in mixed traffic flow.The influential factors related to mixed traffic flow should be given full consideration in the planning and designing of bus stops in developing countries.

survival analysistravel timeduration modelbus stopmixed traffic

YANG XiaoBao、GAO ZiYou、GUO HongWei、HUAN Mei

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MOE Key Laboratory for Urban Transportation Complex Systems Theory and Technology,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China

Department of Transportation Engineering,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China

National Basic Researeh Program of China国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities

2012CB72540070901005711310012010000110012200900091200152011JBM055

2012

中国科学:技术科学(英文版)
中国科学院

中国科学:技术科学(英文版)

SCIEI
影响因子:1.056
ISSN:1674-7321
年,卷(期):2012.55(8)
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