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Forecasting Model of Coal Requirement Quantity Based on Grey System Theory

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The generally used methods of forecasting coal requirement quantity include the analogy method, the outside-push method and the cause-effect analysis method. However, the precision of forecasting results using these methods is lower. This paper uses the grey system theory, and sets up grey forecasting model GM (1, 3) to coal requirement quantity. The forecasting result for the Chinese coal requirement quantity coincides with the actual values, and this shows that the model is reliable. Finally, this model are used to forecast Chinese coal requirement quantity in the future ten years.

coal requirement quantityforecastgrey system theory

孙继湖

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Department of Management, CUMT, Beijing 100083, P.R.China

2001

矿业科学技术学报(英文版)
中国矿业大学

矿业科学技术学报(英文版)

影响因子:1.222
ISSN:2095-2686
年,卷(期):2001.11(2)
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