首页|新质生产力视角下粮食安全对农业经济韧性的影响机制探究

新质生产力视角下粮食安全对农业经济韧性的影响机制探究

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运用2012—2022年中国主要行政区划面板数据,通过中介效应模型分析农业新质生产力视角下的粮食安全提升对农业经济韧性的影响机制,并使用门槛效应模型进行进一步分析。主要结论为:①新质生产力视角下的粮食安全水平提升能够通过农业产业结构优化增强农业经济韧性水平。②农业科技活动经费能够正向调节新质生产力视角的粮食安全对产业结构优化的影响,在产业结构优化对农业经济韧性的影响中则具有制约作用。③农业科技活动经费在作用机制中尽管存在双门槛效应,在超过一定瓶颈后调节作用有所减弱,但仍然有显著的正向调节作用。
Influence Mechanism of Food Security on Agricultural Economic Resilience from the Perspective of New Quality Productivity
With the panel data of China's major administrative divisions from 2012 to 2022,we analyzed the influence mechanism of food security improvement on agricultural economic resilience from the perspective of new agricultural quality productivity through the intermediary model,and used the threshold effect model for further analysis.The main conclusions are as follows:(1) The improvement of food security level from the perspective of new agricultural quality productivity can enhance the resilience of agricultural economy through the optimization of agricultural industrial structure,and the process is linearly affected.(2) As a moderating variable,the expenditure of agricultural science and technology activities plays a promoting role in the impact of new agricultural productivity on the optimization of industrial structure,and has a restraining effect on the impact of industrial structure optimization on the resilience of agricultural economy.(3) In the process of adjusting the improvement of food security level from the perspective of new agricultural productivity and promoting the resilience of agricultural economy,the expenditure of agricultural science and technology activities still has a significant positive moderating effect,although there is a double threshold effect.

New quality productivityAgricultural economic resilienceFood securityMediation model

安思成、贯君

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东北林业大学经济管理学院,哈尔滨 150040

新质生产力 农业经济韧性 粮食安全 中介模型

2024

中国林业经济
中国林业经济学会 东北林业大学

中国林业经济

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.409
ISSN:1673-5919
年,卷(期):2024.(4)