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高铁对机场城市民航客运的影响测度研究

Measuring the impact of high-speed railway on civil aviation passenger transport in airport cities

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高铁与民航间的竞合关系使得基于双方比较优势设计和优化中国航空客运网络成为必然.本文以 2008-2018 年间同时具备高铁站与机场的 88 个城市为研究对象,在分析高铁建设布局变化的基础上,分别探讨了高铁对中国民航客运的阻力效应、机场旅客吞吐量增速及机场城市的航空等级结构的影响,结果表明:中国高铁建设布局呈现从东部、中部向西部、东北部扩展的态势,且城市对距离在 1 200 km以下时,高铁对民航客运的阻力效应更为明显.此外,高铁线路开通后第 2 年对 42 个机场旅客吞吐量增速及 21 个机场城市的航空等级结构有负向抑制作用,对 19 个机场旅客吞吐量增速及 47 个机场城市的航空等级结构有正向促进作用.因此,中国航空客运市场应结合高铁竞合效应差异,针对性地设计和优化航线网络以发挥航空客运网络优势.
The competition and cooperation relationship between high-speed railway and civil aviation makes it inevitable to design and optimize Chinese aviation passenger transport network based on the comparative advantages of both sides.In this paper,88 cities with both high-speed railway stations and airports from 2008 to 2018 are taken as the research objects.Based on the analysis of the changes in the layout of high-speed railway construction,the impacts of high-speed railway on the resistance effect of civil aviation passenger transport,the growth rate of airport pas-senger throughput and the aviation hierarchical structure of airport cities are discussed respectively.The results show that the layout of Chinese high-speed railway construction is expanding from the east and central to the west and northeast,and the resistance effect of high-speed railway on civil aviation passenger transport is more obvious when the distance between cities is below 1200 km.In addition,in the second year after the opening of high-speed railway lines,it has a negative inhibition effect on the growth rate of passenger throughput of 42 airports and avia-tion hierarchical structure of 21 airport cities,and has a positive promotion effect on the growth rate of passenger throughput of 19 airports and aviation hierarchical structure of 47 airport cities.Therefore,the aviation passenger transport market in China should take into account of the differences of competition and cooperation effects of high-speed railway,as well as designing and optimizing route network pertinently to leverage the advantages of aviation passenger transport network.

high-speed railwaycivil aviation passenger transportcivil aviation passenger transport resistance effectaviation hierarchical structureairport city

李国栋、陈沁

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中国民航大学经济与管理学院,天津 300300

高铁 民航客运 民航客运阻力效应 航空等级结构 机场城市

2024

中国民航大学学报
中国民航大学

中国民航大学学报

影响因子:0.363
ISSN:1674-5590
年,卷(期):2024.42(4)