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全球煤炭资源利用现状、供需格局及发展趋势

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在系统阐述世界主要经济体煤炭资源利用情况的基础上,从广域视角分析全球煤炭资源利用现状、供需格局及发展趋势.研究认为,全球能源消费总量持续攀升,全球煤炭消费量、产量以及燃煤发电量均创历史新高,中国、印度和东南亚诸国占全球煤炭资源消费总量已达75%;全球煤炭产量自2020年以来持续大幅反弹,煤炭供给能力不断增强,中国、印度、澳大利亚、印度尼西亚、美国、俄罗斯等国的煤炭产量居于前列;全球燃煤火力发电占发电总量的36%,是全球最大的电力来源.全球煤炭资源供需呈现中短期持续繁荣、长期逐渐下降的基本局面,全球煤炭贸易中心不断东移,亚太地区是全球煤炭贸易最活跃的中心地区;中国、印度等新兴经济体承接了全球产业链转移产生巨大用能需求;印度尼西亚、澳大利亚、俄罗斯、蒙古等成为煤炭的主要出口国.随着全球"能源利用过程的清洁化、能源利用类型的低碳化、能源获取方式的可再生化"的能源转型方向逐渐达成共识,煤炭清洁高效低碳化利用将成为重要发展趋势,煤炭仍是全球重要能源资源并成为支撑能源转型的关键力量,未来煤炭仍将作为重要原料和材料发挥重要作用.
The utilization status,supply and demand pattern,and development trend of global coal resources
Based on the systematic exposition of the utilization of coal resources in major economies around the world,the utilization status,supply and demand pattern,and development trend of global coal resources were presented from a broad perspective in this paper.Research results show that the total global energy consumption continues to rise,with coal consumption,production,and coal-fired power generation reaching historic highs,and China,India,and Southeast Asian countries account for 75%of the total global coal resource consumption;global coal production has continued to rebound significantly since 2020 with increasing coal supply capacity,and China,India,Australia,Indonesia,the United States,and Russia rank among the top coal producers;global coal-fired power generation accounts for 36%of the total electricity generation,making it the largest source of electricity in the world.The global coal resource supply and demand show a basic situation of sustained prosperity in the short to medium term and gradual decline in the long term,and the global coal trading center continues to move eastward,and the Asia Pacific region is the most active center for global coal trade;emerging economies such as China and India have a huge demand for energy as they undertake the transfer of global industrial chains;Indonesia,Australia,Russia,Mongolia and other countries have become the main exporters of coal.With the gradual consensus on the global energy transformation direction of"clean energy utilization process,low-carbon energy utilization types,and renewable energy acquisition methods",the clean,efficient,and low-carbon utilization of coal has become an important trend.Coal remains an important global energy resource and a key force supporting energy transformation.In the future,coal will continue to play an important role as an important raw material.

main energy sourcecoal resourceutilization statussupply and demand patterndevelopment trend

胡健

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煤炭科学研究总院有限公司,北京市朝阳区,100013

主体能源 煤炭资源 利用现状 供需格局 发展趋势

2024

中国煤炭
煤炭信息研究院

中国煤炭

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.736
ISSN:1006-530X
年,卷(期):2024.50(11)