山东工商学院学报2024,Vol.38Issue(2) :40-51.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-5956.2024.02.004

绿色债券市场间风险溢出效应动态分析——基于中国、新加坡、韩国及日本的数据

Dynamic Analysis of Risk Spillover Effects Among Green Bond Markets Among four Asian Countries

袁靖 陈洋 吴文博
山东工商学院学报2024,Vol.38Issue(2) :40-51.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-5956.2024.02.004

绿色债券市场间风险溢出效应动态分析——基于中国、新加坡、韩国及日本的数据

Dynamic Analysis of Risk Spillover Effects Among Green Bond Markets Among four Asian Countries

袁靖 1陈洋 1吴文博1
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作者信息

  • 1. 山东工商学院 统计学院,山东 烟台 264005
  • 折叠

摘要

采用VAR-GARCH-BEKK模型和VAR模型下动态溢出效应联通矩阵方法对亚洲四个国家绿色债券市场间收益及波动率溢出效应进行分析.结论显示,四个国家绿色债券市场间收益及风险的动态溢出效应非常大而且对国际事件(俄乌冲突)非常敏感.首先,新加坡是最大的溢出国,而中国是唯一的溢入国;其次,2022 年俄乌冲突事件发生后四个国家绿色债券市场间溢出效应明显大幅度增加;最后,四个国家绿色债券市场间收益及波动的总溢出效应达到24.91%.

Abstract

This paper uses VAR-GARCH-BEKK model and VAR model under the dynamic spillover effects of connectivity matrix method to analyze green bond market returns and volatility spillover effects in four Asian countries(China,Singapore,Korea and Japan).The conclusion shows that the dynamic spillover effects of yield and risk between green bond markets in four countries are very large and sensitive to international events(Russia-Ukraine conflict).The results show that,firstly,Singapore is the largest spillage country,while China is the only spillage country.Secondly,the spillover effect of green bond markets in the four countries significantly increased after the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022,finally,the total spillover effect of yield and volatility between green bond markets in the four countries reached 24.91%.

关键词

绿色债券/VAR模型/联通矩阵/溢出效应

Key words

green bonds/wavelet analysis/risk spillover

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基金项目

国家社会科学基金(19CJL007)

出版年

2024
山东工商学院学报
山东工商学院

山东工商学院学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.304
ISSN:1672-5956
参考文献量10
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