首页|中国城乡居民食物消费趋同性研究

中国城乡居民食物消费趋同性研究

扫码查看
城乡融合,食物先行.本文测算并描绘了改革开放以来中国城乡居民食物消费量、食物消费结构、营养结构的趋同过程,然后采用收敛模型估算了3个指标的趋同稳态.结果显示,改革开放以来,中国城乡居民食物消费差距经历了先扩大、后缩小的过程,转折点发生在2000年前后.城乡居民食物消费的趋同程度存在显著的收敛性,预测3个指标的城乡趋同稳态将分别达到97.5%、91.0%和96.7%.居民收入水平和城镇化率对趋同稳态具有促进作用,但边际影响逐渐减弱.缩小城乡收入差距将成为未来城乡居民食物消费结构进一步趋同的主要驱动力量.但是,受制于食物供应体系的差异,城乡居民食物消费结构的差距在未来较长一段时间内都难以完全消除.未来的政策方向应侧重于进一步缩小城乡收入差距和改善农村地区的食物供给体系,持续优化农村居民的食物获得条件.
Convergence in Food Consumption between Urban and Rural Residents in China
High similarity in food consumption is the basic feature of integrated urban-rural development We respectively measure and illustrate the convergence process of food consumption amount,food consumption structure,and nutrition structure between urban and rural residents in China since the reform and opening-up policy.We further adopt the convergence model to estimate the steady states of the three convergence indicators.The results show that the gap in food consumption between urban and rural residents in China has experienced a process of first expanding and then narrowing,and the turning point occurred around 2000.There is significant convergence in the degree of convergence of food consumption between urban and rural residents,and it is predicted that in the steady state the three indicators will reach 97.5%,91.0%,and 96.7%,respectively.Residents'income level and urbanization rate have a promoting effect on the steady state,but their marginal effects are gradually weakening.Narrowing the urban-rural income gap will become the main contributing factor,in the future,for further convergence in food consumption structure.However,due to the difference in food supply system,the gap between urban and rural food consumption structure will hardly be eliminated for a long period.Future policy directions should focus on further narrowing the urban-rural income gap and improving the food supply system in rural areas,and continuously optimizing the food availability conditions of rural residents.

Food ConsumptionConsumption StructureUrban-Rural IntegrationConsumption Upgrade

全世文、张慧云

展开 >

中国社会科学院农村发展研究所

中国社会科学院大学应用经济学院

食物消费 消费结构 城乡融合 消费升级

2024

中国农村观察
中国社会科学院农村发展研究所

中国农村观察

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.538
ISSN:1006-4583
年,卷(期):2024.(5)