Reform of Agricultural Policy Making Approaches from the Perspective of Budget Projection:Core Propositions and Agenda Building
Agricultural policy theory and reform have been fairly popular research topics,but the reform of policy making approaches from a budget projection perspective has not been included in the research landscape to date.Compared with reforming policy making,reforming policy making approaches,particularly starting from constructing budgetary projection frameworks,is more likely to yield systematic and sustained policy enhancements,and related research is also more likely to generate rich ideological insights.This paper clarifies the four core modules of agricultural policy budget projection framework,which are the rules and standards for policy screening,current policy baseline,new policy baseline,and expenditure saving baseline.Building upon this foundation,the paper identifies two core reform propositions,which are the rationalization of screening current and new policies,and the use of baseline projection to determine agricultural budget and policies.The corresponding reform agenda covers three core elements:the completion of agricultural policy making in the early stage of budget preparation,the compilation of comprehensive agricultural budget by the agricultural sector and water conservancy departments and the inclusion of comprehensive agricultural budget into the core work process linking common outcomes.The development of the Integrated Agricultural Budget Guide and the Agricultural Policy Costing Guide,and the strengthening of the Integrated Agricultural Budget Review should be major supporting arrangements.The budget projection framework,core propositions,and reform agenda described above are also in principle applicable to other policy areas,but are particularly appropriate for agricultural policy whose reform dividends are usually the largest.