The Impact of Climate Change on Farmland Transfer Behavior:Evidence from the National Rural Fixed Observation Points Survey
Climate change profoundly affects farmers'allocation behavior of production factors,yet there is lack of causal evidence between climate change and farmland transfer.This study utilizes household data from the national rural fixed observation points spanning from 2010 to 2020,and systematically examines the impact of climate change on farmers'behavior regarding farmland transfer.The findings reveal that both climate warming and increased frequency of extreme weather significantly affect farmers'farmland transfer behavior,manifested by increased probabilities and scales of farmland transfer out,and decreased probabilities and scales of farmland transfer in.Further analysis indicates that adverse temperature and precipitation conditions notably induce small-scale farmers to transfer out farmland and reduce the likelihood of transferring in,whereas large-scale farmers are not inclined to transfer out farmland and instead enhance their climate change adaptability by acquiring additional farmland.Climate warming and increased frequency of extreme weather prompt diversified farmers to transfer out farmland,but their impact on purely agricultural farmers'farmland transfer out is not evident.Based on these findings,this study emphasizes the importance of considering the influence of climate change on farmers'farmland management decisions,optimizing agricultural support policies,and further enhancing the ability of different types of farmers to cope with climate risks.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
