How to Prevent Rural Households Lifted Out of Poverty From Returning to Poverty Through Continuous Poverty Alleviation Policies?
Based on the micro survey data of 1171 rural households in the concentrated and contiguous poverty-stricken areas of Chongqing,Yunnan,and Guizhou provinces(municipalities)in 2021,this paper calculates the risk of poverty return for households lifted out of poverty during the transition period,uses PSM method to test the anti-poverty effect of the"continuous poverty alleviation policies",and adopts the intermediary effect model to analyze the implementation mechanism of the"continuous poverty alleviation policies"to prevent return to poverty.We find that the risk distribution of rural households lifted out of poverty returning to poverty shows an olive shaped pattern with large size in the middle and small size at both ends.The"continuous poverty alleviation policies"have the effect of preventing return to poverty,but different types of assistance methods have heterogeneous effects.Specifically,the development-oriented assistance measures can effectively prevent return to poverty,but this type of assistance has a stronger policy effect on the households at low risk of returning to poverty.In contrast,the bottom-up assistance measures only have a preventive effect on the households at high risk of returning to poverty.Mechanism analysis shows that the development oriented assistance methods can reduce the risk of poverty alleviation by providing non-agricultural employment opportunities and stimulating the enthusiasm of rural households lifted out of poverty to work,while the bottom-up assistance methods do not affect the risk of poverty alleviation for rural households through this path.Further analysis reveals that skill training can stimulate the anti-poverty effect of development-oriented assistance methods,and the withdrawal of bottom-up assistance methods will not have a significant impact on households with low risk of returning to poverty.The conclusions of this paper provide empirical evidence for the optimization and adjustment by category of transitional assistance policies,and help improve the targeting mechanism of the"continuous poverty alleviation policies".
Continuous Poverty Alleviation PoliciesRisk of return to povertyPolicy EffectsLarge-Scale Return to Poverty
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