Interprovincial Transfer of Rural Labor Force in China(1978-2021):Quantitative Estimation and Spatiotemporal Characteristics
Under the background of promoting the integrated development of urban and rural areas,this paper estimates the volume of inter-provincial transfer of rural labor in China from 1978 to 2021,identifies the direction of interprovincial transfer of rural labor,and uses social network analysis methods to depict its spatiotemporal characteristics and evolution patterns.This study finds that,first,from 1978 to 2021,the total transfer volume of China's rural labor force shows an upward trend,with interprovincial transfer paths exhibiting complex network characteristics and forming four major circles:the southern circle of the Yangtze River with the Pearl River Delta as the inflow center,the Yangtze River and Yellow River circle with the Yangtze River Delta as the inflow center,the northern circle of the Yellow River with the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as the inflow center,and the northwestern circle of the Yellow River with Xinjiang as the inflow center.The main destinations of rural labor transfer shift from southeast to eastern regions,and there is a trend of returning to the central and western regions.Second,the interprovincial transfer of rural labor force shows a characteristic of nearby transfer in terms of economic level gap and geographical distance gap.The rural labor force shifts from the"outflow block"with a middle or lower per capita GDP to the"bridge block"with stronger economic vitality,and then to the"inflow block"with more developed economy.The geographical distribution of labor force transfer in and out of provinces has a"core-periphery"characteristic.Third,the continuous improvement of the average education level of the transferred labor force indicates that the"quality"advantage of the transferred labor force is improving.How to transform the advantage of transferring labor force from"quantity"to"quality",forming a"new demographic dividend",is the key to leveraging the advantages of transferring labor force groups.Based on this,under the characteristics of China's great scale of economy and imbalanced regional development,respecting the law and characteristics of"gradient"transfer of rural labor force,coordinating the relationship between urbanization and rural revitalization,and further promoting the optimized allocation of rural labor between provinces and between urban and rural areas,are of great significance for the integrated development of urban and rural areas and the realization of the strategic goals of rural revitalization.
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
