首页|基于具有鲁棒特性模型的河南省水资源空间均衡评价

基于具有鲁棒特性模型的河南省水资源空间均衡评价

Spatial Equilibrium Evaluation of Water Resources in Henan Province based on Robust Characteristic Model

扫码查看
为深入研究河南省水资源空间均衡状况,针对水资源空间均衡的模糊性与不确定性,研究建立了空间均衡判别准则量化指标体系,计算了区域水资源负载指数、水土资源匹配系数及用水效益,引入基尼系数刻画水资源空间均衡程度,通过鲁棒等级计算、联系数方法进行不确定性转换判定等级、减法集对势方法计算空间均衡趋势,构建了具有鲁棒特性的水资源空间均衡评价模型,对河南省进行水资源空间均衡评价.结果表明:2020年河南省水资源负载指数为38.996,负载较大,各区域负载北部大于中部,中部大于南部,南部开发潜力最优,分布极不均衡;水土资源匹配系数为0.544,各地市差异较大;用水效益均衡情况较好.2020年河南省水资源空间均衡分布较不均衡,均衡等级为Ⅳ级;18个地市中,均衡等级分布不一,总体南部优于北部.其中安阳市水资源空间均衡状况最差,等级为Ⅴ级,完全不均衡;郑州、洛阳、鹤壁、许昌水资源空间均衡等级为Ⅳ级,较不均衡;其余城市均处于Ⅲ级及以下,均衡状况较好.区域水资源负载较大、水土资源匹配程度低、区域内各县域指标差距较大,极差较大是造成水资源空间不均衡的重要原因.河南省整体水资源空间均衡呈现较小的正向演化趋势,开封等11个城市水资源空间均衡状态呈现正向演化态势,其余7个城市均存在不同程度的负向演化态势.
In order to further study the spatial balance of water resources in Henan Province,aiming at the fuzziness and uncertainty of the spatial balance of water resources,this study established a quantitative index system of spatial balance discrimination criteria,calculated the regional water resource load index,matching coefficient of soil and water resources and water use efficiency,and introduced the Gini coeffi-cient to describe the degree of spatial balance of water resources.A robust water resources spatial equilibrium evaluation model was construct-ed to evaluate the water resources spatial equilibrium in Henan province through robust grade calculation,correlation number method to de-termine the uncertainty transformation grade and subtraction set pair potential method to calculate the spatial equilibrium trend.The results show that the load index of water resources in Henan Province in 2020 was 38.996,which was a large load.The load in the north was greater than that in the middle,and the middle was greater than that in the south,and the development potential in the south was the best,and the distribution was extremely unbalanced.The matching coefficient of water and soil resources was 0.544,which varied greatly among different cities.The water use efficiency was relatively balanced.In 2020,the spatial equilibrium distribution of water resources in Henan Province was uneven,and the equilibrium level was Ⅳ.Among the 18 cities,the distribution of equilibrium level was different,and the south was bet-ter than the north.Among them,the spatial equilibrium of water resources in Anyang City was the worst,with a level of Ⅴ,which was com-pletely unbalanced;The spatial equilibrium of water resources of Zhengzhou,Luoyang,Hebi and Xuchang were in level IV,which was rela-tively unbalanced.The rest of the cities were in level III and below,and the balance condition were better.Large regional water resources load,low matching degree of water and soil resources,and large gap of indicators among counties in the region were important reasons for the spatial imbalance of water resources.The overall spatial balance of water resources in Henan Province showed a small positive evolution trend,and the spatial balance of water resources in 11 cities such as Kaifeng showed a positive evolution trend,while the other 7 cities showed a negative evolution trend to varying degrees.

water resources spatial equilibriumrobust characteristicvariable setset pair analysisHenan Province

叶继业、尚明宇、杨欢、王富强

展开 >

河南省水务规划设计研究有限公司,河南 郑州 450006

华北水利水电大学水资源学院,河南 郑州 450046

河南省黄河流域水资源节约集约利用重点实验室,河南 郑州 450046

水资源空间均衡 鲁棒特性 可变集 集对分析 河南省

2024

中国农村水利水电
水利部中国灌溉排水发展中心 水利部农村水电及电气化发展局 武汉大学 中国国家灌溉排水委员会

中国农村水利水电

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.655
ISSN:1007-2284
年,卷(期):2024.(11)