首页|基于多源数据融合的青藏高原降雪变化特征研究

基于多源数据融合的青藏高原降雪变化特征研究

扫码查看
降雪作为青藏高原水循环的重要组成部分,对维持区域水资源平衡和生态平衡具有不可替代的作用.然而,随着全球气候变暖的加剧,青藏高原地区降雪变化特征不仅对区域气候稳定性构成了挑战,也对水资源管理和生态环境保护提出了新的课题.为了深入理解青藏高原降雪变化的时空特征及其对气候变化的响应,研究选取了拉萨河、年楚河、那曲河、长江源、黄河源和澜沧江源等6个具有代表性的流域作为研究对象,旨在通过多源遥感降水数据融合技术,揭示这一时期内青藏高原降雪的时空变化规律.研究选取了CMFD、CPC和TRMM三种网格降水数据,通过构建基于整体偏差和偏差组分的降水数据评价指标,对这些数据进行了精度评估和优化融合.研究结果表明,2002-2018年间,青藏高原典型流域内的降雪率总体呈现下降趋势,特别是在海拔5 000 m以上的地区,其降雪率的减少更为显著.降雪率的降幅由大到小排序为拉萨河(28.2%)、黄河源(18.2%)、长江源(17.8%)、年楚河(15.4%)、澜沧江源(12.1%)和那曲河(10.5%),这一下降趋势呈现出自南向北逐渐增强的空间分布特征.这一发现与全球气候变暖紧密相关,为理解青藏高原对气候变化的响应提供了重要的科学依据.此外,本研究对于青藏高原地区的水资源管理和气候变化适应策略的制定具有重要的参考价值,也为相关领域提供了数据支持和研究方法,有助于推动青藏高原气候变化研究的深入发展.
Variation Characteristics of Snowfall in Tibetan Plateau Based on Multi-Source Data Fusion
Snowfall,as an integral part of the water cycle in the Tibetan Plateau,plays an irreplaceable role in maintaining the balance of re-gional water resources and ecological balance.However,with the intensification of global warming,the characteristics of snowfall change in the Tibetan Plateau region not only pose challenges to the stability of the regional climate but also raise new issues for water resource manage-ment and ecological environment protection.To deeply understand the spatiotemporal characteristics of snowfall changes in the Tibetan Pla-teau and their response to climate change,this study selected six representative basins,namely the Lhasa River,Nianchu River,Naqu Riv-er,the source of the Yangtze River,the source of the Yellow River,and the source of the Lancang River,as research objects.The aim is to reveal the spatiotemporal variation patterns of snowfall in the Tibetan Plateau during this period through multi-source remote sensing precipi-tation data fusion technology.This study selected three types of gridded precipitation data:CMFD,CPC,and TRMM,and constructed an evaluation index for precipitation data based on overall deviation and deviation components to assess the accuracy and optimize the integra-tion of these data.The results show that from 2002 to 2018,the snowfall rate in the typical basins of the Tibetan Plateau generally showed a downward trend,especially in areas above an altitude of 5 000 meters,where the reduction in snowfall rate was more significant.The ranking of the decrease in snowfall rate from large to small is:Lhasa River(28.2%),the source of the Yellow River(18.2%),the source of the Yangtze River(17.8%),Nianchu River(15.4%),the source of the Lancang River(12.1%),and Naqu River(10.5%).This downward trend shows a spatial distribution feature that intensifies gradually from south to north.This finding is closely related to global warming and provides important scientific evidence for understanding the response of the Tibetan Plateau to climate change.In addition,this study has im-portant reference value for the formulation of water resource management and climate change adaptation strategies in the Tibetan Plateau re-gion,and also provides data support and research methods for related fields,which helps to promote the in-depth development of climate change research in the Tibetan Plateau.

Tibetan Plateausnowfall variationmulti-source data fusionspatiotemporal characteristics

于媛慧、杨士恒、张安然、刘建伟、雷恒

展开 >

黄河水利职业技术学院,河南 开封 475004

开封市调水工程安全监测与风险评估重点实验室,河南 开封 475004

河南省巨型水网灾害防御工程技术研究中心,河南 开封 475004

河南省跨流域区域引调水运行与生态安全工程研究中心,河南 开封 475004

中国水利水电科学研究院,北京 100036

河海大学,江苏 南京 211100

展开 >

青藏高原 降雪变化 多源数据融合 时空特征

2025

中国农村水利水电
水利部中国灌溉排水发展中心 水利部农村水电及电气化发展局 武汉大学 中国国家灌溉排水委员会

中国农村水利水电

北大核心
影响因子:0.655
ISSN:1007-2284
年,卷(期):2025.(1)