Research on the spatio-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of agricultural economic growth in Guangxi:A spatial econometric analysis based on panel data of 96 counties
Exploring the spatial characteristics of county agricultural economic growth and its influencing factors is of great significance to promote the coordinated development of county economy in Guangxi.Based on the panel data of 96 counties in Guangxi,the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of Guangxi's agricultural economic growth were analyzed by ESDA analysis method,and the influencing factors and spatial effects of Guangxi's agricultural economic growth were deeply analyzed by building a spatial Durbin model,and the difference of contributions of each influencing factor to agricultural economic growth was investigated by region.The results show that Guangxi county agricultural economic growth as a whole shows strong spatial correlation,and the local spatial correlation has obvious"high-high"and"low-low"spatial clustering characteristics.The influence of each input factor on agricultural economic growth has large differences,and the spatial effect is mainly positive,and every 1% increase in the inputs of factors such as land,agricultural technology and government capital will bring about an increase in the level of agricultural economic growth by 0.706%,0.994%,and 0.108%,respectively;there are obvious differences in the main influencing factors of the growth of the agricultural economy in the five internal regions of Guangxi,as well as the degree of their influence,and the spatial effect also has obvious regional differences.The policy implications are drawn based on the findings of the study as follows:firstly,regional synergies in agricultural development between neighboring counties should be strengthened,and efforts should be made to narrow the gap in agricultural economic growth between counties.Secondly,each internal region should target the level of agricultural inputs,follow the principle of relative comparative advantage,and promote agricultural economic growth by increasing agricultural factor inputs.
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