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我国经济增长与碳排放关系研究

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经济增长与碳排放之间存在着复杂的相互关系,把握二者之间的规律对于促进经济高质量发展具有重大意义.本文旨在运用Tapio脱钩模型,深入分析我国经济增长与碳排放的关系.结果发现:第一,总体看,我国经济增长与碳排放已呈现出弱脱钩趋势.第二,从区域看,中、东、东北与西部地区分别出现了一至四个扩张连接,其余年份均为弱脱钩状态与强脱钩状态.第三,从省(区、市)来看,大部分省(区、市)皆未完全实现脱钩,即经济增长还在一定程度上与碳排放量的增加相关联,但关联程度不同.建议完善碳排放交易市场,加快产业结构调整,促进绿色产业的发展,加大对清洁能源的投入和推广等.
Research on the Relationship Between China's Economic Growth and Carbon Emission
There is a complex relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions,and it is of great significance to grasp the law between the two for promoting high-quality economic development.This paper aims to use the Tapio decoupling model to deeply analyze the relationship between China's economic growth and carbon emissions.The results show that:First,overall,China's economic growth and carbon emissions have shown a weak decoupling trend.Second,from the regional perspective,there are one to four expanding connections in the central,eastern,northeastern and western regions,respectively,and the rest of the years are in weak and strong decoupling states.Third,from the perspective of provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities),most provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)have not fully decoupled,that is,economic growth still depends on the increase of carbon emissions to a certain extent,but the degree of dependence is different.It is suggested to improve the carbon emission trading market,speed up the adjustment of industrial structure,promote the development of green industries,and increase the investment and promotion of clean energy.

Economic GrowthCarbon EmissionsTapio Decoupling Model

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中国社会科学院大学经济学院,北京 102445

经济增长 碳排放 Tapio脱钩模型

2023

中国能源
国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所

中国能源

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:1.059
ISSN:1003-2355
年,卷(期):2023.45(11)
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