Analysis on the Status and Scenario Forecast of Carbon Dioxide Emissions in Henan Province's Energy Consumption
The article adopts the LMDI approach to examine the elements affecting carbon emissions due to energy use in Henan Province between 2002 and 2021,employs the Tapio decoupling model to assess the decoupling status between carbon emissions and economic expansion in Henan Province,and applies the STIRPAT extended model to forecast the carbon emissions from energy use in Henan Province from 2021 to 2035.Findings indicate that:(1)The primary catalyst for the increase in carbon emissions in Henan Province is the economic scale effect,with the energy intensity effect serving as the chief deterrent.(2)From 2003 to 2021,the decoupling of economic expansion and carbon emissions in Henan Province has shifted from weak to strong.(3)The low-carbon scenario is the optimal model to foster the growth of Henan Province as it can ensure economic development while achieving carbon peaking by 2030.
Energy ConsumptionCarbon EmissionLMDI MethodTapio DecouplingScenario Prediction
万方数据
维普
