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我国能源供需的区域格局、演变态势以及影响因素分析

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新时代的能源发展对我国能源供需格局提出了新的发展要求,了解能源供需的区域格局和动态演变具有重要的基础作用。本文采用国家能源供应保障的时空协调原理,基于一次能源的生产以及消费情况,将能源自给率作为切入点进行数据描述和因素分析,揭示了一次能源在不同区域的供需格局和演变态势。我国能源生产主要集中在西北和华北地区,而消费主要集中在华东和华北地区,华南和华东地区的能源自给率相对更低,能源资源与负荷需求表现出明显的逆向分布特征,存在能源供需不匹配的问题,亟需根据不同地区的能源储备、经济发展、技术水平、地理区位等因素,有针对性地统筹安排能源的区域协调策略。
The high-quality development of China's energy sector in the new era poses new requirements for the country's energy supply and demand pattern.Understanding the regional pattern and dynamic evolution of energy supply and demand plays a crucial foundational role in the current context.Based on the principles of spatiotemporal coordination for national energy supply security,this paper focuses on the production and consumption of primary energy,using the energy self-sufficiency rate as an entry point for data description and factor analysis.It reveals the supply and demand pattern and evolutionary trends of primary energy in different regions.China's energy production is mainly concentrated in the Northwest and North China,while consumption is concentrated in East China and North China.The energy self-sufficiency rates in South China and East China are relatively lower,showing a distinct counter-distribution characteristic between energy resources and load demand,indicating an issue of mismatch between energy supply and demand.It is urgently needed to plan regional coordination strategies for energy,tailored to the different areas'energy reserves,economic development,technological levels,and geographical locations.

Energy Supply and DemandRegional PatternEvolution TrendInfluence Factors

杨雪、王维

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中央财经大学商学院,北京 100081

中国社科院科研局,北京 102445

能源供需 区域格局 演变态势 影响因素

2024

中国能源
国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所

中国能源

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:1.059
ISSN:1003-2355
年,卷(期):2024.46(6)