首页|新疆维吾尔自治区工业固定排放源二氧化碳源汇匹配研究

新疆维吾尔自治区工业固定排放源二氧化碳源汇匹配研究

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碳中和背景下,碳捕集利用与封存技术被认为是未来减碳方案的核心举措之一,有助于解决当前化石能源系统和工业部门大部分的减排问题。新疆维吾尔自治区作为我国西北地区重要的能源综合利用基地,拥有良好的CCUS产业发展基础。在此基础上,本文聚焦新疆维吾尔自治区工业固定二氧化碳排放源,采用混合整数规划模型进行源汇匹配路线研究;结合空间分析,利用GIS工具,揭示源汇分布关系及源汇匹配状况;最后采用节约里程算法对基础的理论方案进行线路里程优化,以确定最优运输线路。结果表明,在总规划期内(至2050年),实施CCUS项目的总成本预计约为20471亿元人民币,单位减排成本约为378元/吨CO2;进一步通过节约里程法优化源汇匹配方案,有效减少了约3488千米的线路里程,单位减排成本降低至约273元/吨C02。此外,本文还初步识别出8个潜在的CCUS集群发展区域,为后续自治区大规模部署CCUS技术及发展集群提供有益参考。
In the context of carbon neutrality,Carbon Capture,Utilization and Storage technology(CCUS)is considered as one of the core initiatives for future carbon reduction,which helps to solve most of current problems in fossil energy systems and industrial sectors.As an important comprehensive energy utilization base in Northwest China,Xinjiang has a good foundation for the development of CCUS industry.Based on this,this paper focuses on the industrial fixed carbon dioxide emission sources in Xinjiang and uses the mixed integer programming model to study the source-sink matching route.Combined with spatial analysis,using GIS tools reveals the source-sink distribution relationship and source-sink matching results.Finally,the mileage saving algorithm is used to optimize the route of the basic theoretical scheme.The results show that the total cost of implementing CCUS projects is expected to be about 2047.1 billion yuan during the overall planning period(to 2050),and the unit emission reduction cost is about 378 yuan/ton of CO2.Through the mileage saving algorithm,the optimized scheme effectively reduces the mileage of about 3488 kilometers,and the unit cost of emission reduction is reduced to about 273 yuan/ton CO2.In addition,this paper also preliminarily identifies eight potential CCUS cluster development areas,which will provide a useful reference for the large-scale deployment of CCUS technology and the development of CCUS industrial clusters in Xinjiang.

Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous RegionIndustrial Emission SourcesCCUSSource-Sink Matching,Cluster Development

肖莎、王建良、倪嘉鑫

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中国石油大学(北京)经济管理学院,北京 102249

中国石油大学(北京)油气产业发展研究中心,北京 102249

中国石油大学(北京)碳中和与能源创新发展研究院,北京 102249

多伦多大学文理学院,多伦多M5S1A1

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新疆维吾尔自治区 工业排放源 CCUS 源汇匹配 集群发展

2024

中国能源
国家发展和改革委员会能源研究所

中国能源

CSTPCDCHSSCD
影响因子:1.059
ISSN:1003-2355
年,卷(期):2024.46(6)