首页|三江源牧草气候生产力变化及对气象干旱的响应

三江源牧草气候生产力变化及对气象干旱的响应

扫码查看
基于1970-2020年三江源地区18个气象站点逐月地面观测资料,以不同时间尺度标准化降水蒸散指数(Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index,SPEI)为气象干旱监测指标,采用逐步订正法计算牧草气候生产力,分析三江源地区牧草生长季气象干旱和气候生产力的时空特征,初步揭示气候生产力对气象干旱的响应状况。结果表明:近50a,三江源地区牧草生长季气象干旱呈加重态势(P<0。01),1995年左右气候由湿润逐步转变为干旱,干旱发生区域主要分布在西部、中南部和东北部地区;三江源西北部地区干旱化更明显。牧草生长季气候生产力整体以7。38kg。hm-2。a-1的速率减少(P<0。01);空间上由西北向东南减少,呈西部上升、东部下降的空间分布。三江源地区牧草生长季气候生产力与不同时间段前推SPEI具有较强的正相关性,且随SPEI前推时间增加,相关系数微弱增加,中西部地区牧草气候生产力对气象干旱的响应高于其他区域。
Change in Forage Grass Climate Productivity and Response to Meteorological Drought in Sanjiangyuan
Based on monthly ground observation data from 18 meteorological stations in Sanjiangyuan region from 1970 to 2020,the SPEI at different time scales was used as the meteorological drought monitoring index.The climate productivity of forage grass was calculated by stepwise correction method.The temporal and spatial characteristics of meteorological drought and climate productivity in the forage grass growing season in the Sanjiangyuan region were analyzed,and the response of climate productivity to meteorological drought was initially revealed.The results show that:in recent 50 years,meteorological drought of forage grass growing season in the Sanjiangyuan region showed an aggravating trend(P<0.01).The climate gradually changed from humid to arid around 1995,drought occurs mainly in the west,south central and northeast regions;The aridification in the northwest of Sanjiangyuan region is more obvious.The climate productivity of forage grass in the growing season was decreased by 7.38kg·ha-1·y-1(P<0.01).The spatial distribution decreases from northwest to southeast,rising in the west and falling in the east.There is a strong positive correlation between climate productivity of forage grass growth season and SPEI in different time periods in the Sanjiangyuan region.Moreover,with the increase of SPEI forward time,the correlation coefficient increases slightly.The response of forage grass climate productivity to meteorological drought in central and western regions was higher than that in other regions.

Sanjiangyuan regionClimate productivityMeteorological droughtSPEI

桑春云、王倩、郭建茂、李建华、李文峰、王勇

展开 >

南京信息工程大学应用气象学院,南京 210044

泽库县气象局,泽库 811400

青海省气象台,西宁 810000

河南省烟草公司许昌市公司,许昌 461000

河南省许昌市气象局,许昌 461000

乌鲁木齐气象卫星地面站,乌鲁木齐 830000

展开 >

三江源地区 气候生产力 气象干旱 SPEI

河南烟草公司许昌分公司项目新疆维吾尔自治区重点研发任务专项

20204110002400732022B03027-1

2024

中国农业气象
中国农业科学院农业环境与可持续发展研究所

中国农业气象

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.679
ISSN:1000-6362
年,卷(期):2024.45(1)
  • 40