首页|The effects of population aging on industrial structure upgrading:Empirical analysis of provincial and threshold characteristics in China
The effects of population aging on industrial structure upgrading:Empirical analysis of provincial and threshold characteristics in China
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Global population aging trends are intensifying,presenting multifaceted economic and social challenges for countries worldwide.As the world's largest developing country,China has entered a phase of extreme demo-graphic aging,posing significant questions about its impact on the ongoing upgrading of industrial structures.How does this demographic shift influence the upgrading of industrial structures,and does technological inno-vation mitigate or exacerbate this impact?The empirical results indicate that population aging impedes up-grading the industrial structure,while technological innovation positively affects the relationship between the two.Moreover,using technological innovation as a threshold variable,the impact of population aging on in-dustrial structure upgrading evolves in a"gradient"manner from"impediment"to"insignificant"to"promo-tion"as the technological innovation levels increase.These findings offer practical guidance for tailoring in-dustrial policies to different stages of technological advancement.
Population agingTechnological innovation levelIndustrial structure upgradingPanel threshold modelsInstrumental variable method
Mao Hu、Linyu Xiao、Hong Qiu
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School of Management,Xihua University,Chengdu 610039,China
Research Institute of International Economics and Management,Xihua University,Chengdu 610039,China
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