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土地流转视角下耕地"非粮化"时空格局演变及驱动因素

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该研究对2009-2020年中国流转耕地"非粮化"的时空格局进行量化测度,利用Tobit模型、空间计量模型和工具变量法,从"人""地""钱"多视角探析流转耕地"非粮化"的驱动因素及其空间异质性.结果显示:①流转耕地"非粮化"具有阶段性和区域性,非粮食主产区的流转耕地"非粮化"是全国层面流转耕地"非粮化"加剧的主要原因.②土地流转是耕地"非粮化"的重要驱动因素.提高土地流转面积和将土地流转给生活型经营者,有利于抑制耕地"非粮化"发展,但土地流转租金上涨会难以避免地加剧耕地"非粮化"程度.③土地流转与耕地"非粮化"关系存在区域异质性.在粮食主产区,土地流转面积提高对流转耕地"非粮化"的抑制作用更强;在非粮食主产区,生产型农业经营者采取"非粮化"种植行为的倾向更强.因此,为应对流转耕地"非粮化"现象,应健全耕地保护补偿制度,对防止流转耕地"非粮化"目标完成好的地区给予奖补;重点规范非粮食主产区的工商资本流转土地行为,对农户粮食种植行为给予奖励;进一步推进粮食主产区的土地流转和整治工程,发展耕地适度规模化经营;完善农地流转交易平台,继续加强土地流转价格监控.
Spatio-temporal evolution patterns and driving factors of farmland non-grain cultivation from the perspective of farmland transfer
This article quantitatively measured the spatio-temporal evolution patterns of transferred farmland non-grain cultivation in China from 2009 to 2020.Utilizing the Tobit model,spatial econometric model,and instrumental variables method,it explored the driv-ing factors and spatial heterogeneity of farmland non-grain cultivation from multiple perspectives,including'people,''land,'and'money.'The results indicated that:① The farmland non-grain cultivation exhibited stages and regional characteristics,with the farm-land non-grain cultivation in non-food-producing regions being the main contributor to the nationwide trend.② Land transfer played a pivotal role in farmland non-grain cultivation.Increasing the area of land transfers and directing transfers to subsistence-oriented opera-tors could help suppress the development of farmland non-grain cultivation,yet the rise in land transfer rents might exacerbate the de-gree of farmland non-grain cultivation.③ The relationship between land transfer and farmland non-grain cultivation exhibited regional heterogeneity.In grain-producing areas,increasing the area of land transfers had a stronger inhibitory effect on farmland non-grain culti-vation,while in non-food-producing areas,production-oriented agricultural operators exhibited a stronger tendency towards non-grain practices.Therefore,to address the phenomenon of farmland non-grain cultivation,this study suggests improving the compensation sys-tem for farmland protection,offering incentives to areas that effectively prevent non-grain cultivation,rigorously regulating land transfer behaviors in non-food-producing areas,and rewarding agricultural households for food cultivation practices.It also recommends further promoting land transfer and consolidation projects in grain-producing areas,developing moderately scaled farmland management,en-hancing farmland transfer trading platforms,and continuing strengthening monitoring of land transfer prices.

transferred farmlandnon-grain cultivationspatio-temporal evolution patterndriving factor

杨慧琳、冯淑怡、袁凯华、张兰、陈尧

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南京农业大学公共管理学院,江苏 南京 210095

中国资源环境与发展研究院,江苏 南京 210095

湖北大学公共管理学院,湖北 武汉 430062

流转耕地 "非粮化" 时空格局演变 驱动因素

国家社会科学基金重大项目

22&ZD233

2024

中国人口·资源与环境
中国可持续发展研究会 山东省可持续发展中心 中国21世纪议程管理中心 山东师范大学

中国人口·资源与环境

CSTPCDCSSCI北大核心
影响因子:3.126
ISSN:1002-2104
年,卷(期):2024.34(2)
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