Spatio-temporal evolution patterns and driving factors of farmland non-grain cultivation from the perspective of farmland transfer
This article quantitatively measured the spatio-temporal evolution patterns of transferred farmland non-grain cultivation in China from 2009 to 2020.Utilizing the Tobit model,spatial econometric model,and instrumental variables method,it explored the driv-ing factors and spatial heterogeneity of farmland non-grain cultivation from multiple perspectives,including'people,''land,'and'money.'The results indicated that:① The farmland non-grain cultivation exhibited stages and regional characteristics,with the farm-land non-grain cultivation in non-food-producing regions being the main contributor to the nationwide trend.② Land transfer played a pivotal role in farmland non-grain cultivation.Increasing the area of land transfers and directing transfers to subsistence-oriented opera-tors could help suppress the development of farmland non-grain cultivation,yet the rise in land transfer rents might exacerbate the de-gree of farmland non-grain cultivation.③ The relationship between land transfer and farmland non-grain cultivation exhibited regional heterogeneity.In grain-producing areas,increasing the area of land transfers had a stronger inhibitory effect on farmland non-grain culti-vation,while in non-food-producing areas,production-oriented agricultural operators exhibited a stronger tendency towards non-grain practices.Therefore,to address the phenomenon of farmland non-grain cultivation,this study suggests improving the compensation sys-tem for farmland protection,offering incentives to areas that effectively prevent non-grain cultivation,rigorously regulating land transfer behaviors in non-food-producing areas,and rewarding agricultural households for food cultivation practices.It also recommends further promoting land transfer and consolidation projects in grain-producing areas,developing moderately scaled farmland management,en-hancing farmland transfer trading platforms,and continuing strengthening monitoring of land transfer prices.