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流域初始水权分配的主从递阶双层优化方法

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依托"流域-地区-行业"层次的初始水权分配模式,"流域-地区"层次影响制约"地区-行业"层次的初始水权分配,"流域-地区"和"地区-行业"层次的初始水权分配共同影响流域综合效益.现有研究主要聚焦"流域-地区"或"地区-行业"层次的初始水权分配,但将两个层次集成进行初始水权分配仍有待深化研究.为此,构建主从递阶双层优化方法,开展流域初始水权分配研究.具体可表述为:①针对"流域-地区"层次,建立流域综合效益优化函数与约束条件.构造适应性诊断准则和空间均衡性诊断准则,嵌入流域综合效益优化函数中,提高地区之间初始水权分配与经济社会发展的适应性、流域分水的空间均衡性.②针对"地区-行业"层次,建立地区综合效益优化的非线性目标规划模型,保障行业发展用水需求.并构造匹配性诊断准则嵌入非线性目标规划模型中,提高地区不同行业初始水权分配与行业发展的匹配性.③集成"流域-地区"和"地区-行业"层次,应用主从递阶双层优化方法,开展黄河流域初始水权分配实践探索.研究得出:通过黄河流域初始水权分配方案设计,得到黄河流域涉及省区水权分配比例与其经济社会发展综合指标加权值比例的比值,其中,内蒙古-陕西、陕西-宁夏、宁夏-山西、山西-河南、河南-甘肃、甘肃-青海、青海-山东分别为0.84、1.45、0.84、1.08、1.19、1.77、1.02,满足适应性诊断准则.黄河流域初始水权分配的基尼系数为0.10,属于"空间均衡度很高",满足空间均衡性诊断准则.黄河流域涉及省区不同行业的水权配置与行业发展的匹配度均超过0.90,属于"高度匹配".同时,黄河流域经济、社会、生态效益优化函数对应的满意度分别达到0.946、0.943、1.000,黄河流域涉及省区的经济、社会、生态效益优化函数对应的满意度均超过0.90.结果表明,该方法能够有效破解流域初始水权分配难题.为保障流域初始水权分配方案的有效落实,必须强化水资源刚性约束和双控行动,提升流域水利科技创新能力,推进流域产业用水结构合理化与产业结构高级化.
Master-slave hierarchical bi-level optimization method for initial water rights allocation in the river basin
Based on the initial water rights allocation mode at the'basin-region-industry'level,the initial water rights allocation at the'basin-region'level affects and restricts that at the'region-industry'level,while the initial water rights allocation at the'basin-re-gion'and'region-industry'levels jointly affect the comprehensive benefits of the river basin.Existing research mainly focuses on ini-tial water rights allocation at the'basin-region'level or'region-industry'level,but further research is needed to investigate the integra-tion of the two levels in optimizing initial water rights allocation.Therefore,the master-slave hierarchical bi-level optimization method was constructed to conduct research on initial water rights allocation in the river basin.The method can be expressed as follows:① For the initial water rights allocation at the'basin-region'level,the optimization function of the comprehensive benefits and constraint con-ditions of the river basin was established,and the adaptive diagnostic criteria and spatial equilibrium diagnostic criteria were construct-ed and embedded in the optimization function of the comprehensive benefits of the river basin,so as to improve the adaptability of the initial water rights allocation among regions to eco-social development and the spatial equilibrium of the initial water rights allocation of the river basin.② For the initial water rights allocation at the'region-industry'level,a nonlinear objective programming model was es-tablished for optimizing regional comprehensive benefits to ensure the water demand for industry development.And the matching diag-nostic criteria were constructed and embedded into the nonlinear objective programming model to improve the matching between the ini-tial water rights allocation of different industries in the region and the industries'development.Finally,the master-slave hierarchical bi-level optimization method was applied to explore the initial water rights allocation practice in the Yellow River Basin.The research con-cluded that through the design of the initial water rights allocation scheme in the Yellow River Basin,this study obtained the ratio be-tween the water rights allocation ratio of the provinces in the Yellow River Basin and the ratio of the weighted value of the comprehen-sive index of eco-social development.Inner Mongolia-Shanxi,Shaanxi-Ningxia,Ningxia-Shanxi,Shanxi-Henan,Henan-Gansu,Gansu-Qinghai,and Qinghai-Shandong were 0.84,1.45,0.84,1.08,1.19,1.77,and 1.02,respectively,satisfying the adaptive diagnostic crite-ria.The Gini coefficient of the initial water rights allocation in the Yellow River Basin was 0.10,belonging to'high spatial equilibrium'and meeting the spatial equilibrium diagnostic criteria.The matching degree between the initial water rights allocation of different indus-tries in the region and the industries'development in the Yellow River Basin was more than 0.90,belonging to'high matching.'Mean-while,the satisfaction levels corresponding to the optimization functions of economic,social,and ecological benefits in the Yellow River Basin reached 0.946,0.943,and 1.000,respectively,and the satisfaction levels corresponding to the optimization functions of the eco-nomic,social,and ecological benefits of the provinces in the Yellow River Basin all exceeded 0.90.The results showed that the method could effectively solve the problem of initial water rights allocation in the river basin.In order to guarantee the effective implementation of the initial water rights allocation scheme in the river basin,it is necessary to strengthen the rigid constraints and dual-control actions of water resources,enhance the scientific and technological innovation ability of water conservancy in the river basin,and promote the rationalization of industrial water use structures and the advancement of industrial structures in the river basin.

water basininitial water rights allocationmaster-slave hierarchical bi-level optimization methodfairnessadaptabilityspatial balance

吴丹、潘朱玲

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北方工业大学经济管理学院,北京 100144

流域 初始水权分配 主从递阶双层优化方法 公平性 适配性 空间均衡

教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金北方工业大学北京城市治理研究基地项目

21YJCZH1762023CSZL01

2024

中国人口·资源与环境
中国可持续发展研究会 山东省可持续发展中心 中国21世纪议程管理中心 山东师范大学

中国人口·资源与环境

CSTPCDCSSCI北大核心
影响因子:3.126
ISSN:1002-2104
年,卷(期):2024.34(2)
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