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我国蔬菜产业市场运行态势研究

Research on Market Operation Trend of Vegetable Industry in China

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近 10年来,我国蔬菜种植面积、产量逐年增加,消费需求也明显上升,总供给和总需求基本平衡,市场运行总体比较稳健.蔬菜市场运行具有季节性波动、产地转换等五大特征.2023年,我国蔬菜市场产销两旺,市场价格高位运行,农业农村部重点监测的28种蔬菜全国批发价格全年平均是近10年来的最高价;展望2024年,蔬菜总供给和总需求基本平衡,略有结余.蔬菜市场主要面临气候变化、种植意愿、产销衔接等五大风险点.建议今后要进一步强化"菜篮子"建设、蔬菜地产地销、均衡上市、监测预警和政策扶持,努力实现蔬菜产业保供稳价和高质量发展.
In the past 10 years,planting areas and outputs of vegetable in China have increased year by year.Consumer demand also has risen significantly.The aggregate supply and total demand are basically in balance,and market operation is generally stable.The operation of vegetable market has 5 characteristics,including seasonal fluctuation and origin conversion,etc.In 2023,vegetable market production and sales in China are flourishing.The market price is running at a high level.The whole year average wholesale price all over China for 28 kinds of vegetable,key monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is the highest during the past 10 years.Looking forward to 2024,vegetable aggregate supply and total demand are basically balanced with a slight balance.The vegetable market is mainly confronted with 5 risk points:climate change,planting intention,production and marketing connection,etc.It is suggested that in future,the construction of'vegetable basket',marketing at vegetable production areas,balanced listing,monitoring and early warning,policies support,should be further strengthened,so as to strive for realizing a stable supply and price and high quality development of the vegetable industry.

vegetable industrymarket operationprice analysismarket forecastpolicy suggestion

安民、曹姗姗、孙伟、孔汇鑫、孔繁涛、刘继芳

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中国农业科学院农业信息研究所,北京 100081

国家农业科学数据中心,北京 100081

中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京 100081

蔬菜产业 市场运行 价格分析 市场预测 政策建议

中国农业科学院农科英才领军人才支持项目

Tcs019

2024

中国蔬菜
中国农业科学院蔬菜茶卉所

中国蔬菜

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.545
ISSN:1000-6346
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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