The upper basin of the Yellow River is an important water source conservation area in the Yellow River Basin,with natural runoff accounting for 62%of the annual average(1956-2000)total runoff.Precipitation chan-ges are not only the main influencing factor on water sources,but also related to changes in conservation capacity.Based on wavelet analysis,this paper uses a series of daily precipitation data from 43 meteorological stations in the upper basin of the Yellow River from 1960 to 2021 to analyze the precipitation changes in the upper basin,u-sing Mann Kendall test,anomaly method,frequency curve method,etc.The results show that:(1)the precipi-tation in the upper basin of the Yellow River can be divided into three distinct periods:1963 to 1981,1981 to 1999,and 1999 to 2018;(2)The annual precipitation from 1960 to 2021 shows an increasing trend of 4.9 mm/10 a,and the trend rates of annual precipitation during the three periods are-0.9 mm/10 a,-1.0 mm/10 a,and 46 mm/10 a,respectively;(3)From 1960 to 2021,74%of normal years have an annual precipitation a-nomaly percentage of-15%to 15%,while light drought years with an anomaly percentage of-30%to-15%and light flood years with an anomaly percentage of 15%to 30%account for 15%and 8%,respectively;3%of flood prone years have a percentage of anomaly between 30%and 40%.Drought and flood years generally occur in two periods:1963-1981 and 1999-2018;(4)The main difference in daily precipitation during the three periods is the frequency of precipitation less than 10%,which varies with altitude.The precipitation at Maqin Station from 1999 to 2018 increases at a rate of 25-45.4 mm/d compared to the past.The precipitation at Linxia Station from 1999 to 2018 increases at a rate of 20-50 mm/d.From 1963 to 1981,the precipitation at Wushenzhao Station in-creases at a rate of 50-65 mm/d compared to the past.
关键词
黄河上游/降水/周期/趋势/特征/频率
Key words
the upper reaches of the Yellow River/precipitation/periodicity/trend/characteristic/frequency