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宁夏连阴雨(雪)过程变化规律研究

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利用宁夏主要气象站1961年以来逐日降水及云量资料,定义了连阴雨(雪)日数的标准,分析了近50a来宁夏连阴雨(雪)过程的分布特征、演变规律及与降水总量、干旱灾害的关系。1961年以来宁夏连阴雨(雪)过程总体呈下降趋势,尤其5~7日的过程显著下降;冬季连阴雨(雪)过程呈上升趋势,且近年来变率明显增大;其他季节呈下降趋势,尤其春季下降趋势最明显;进入21世纪以来,虽然连阴雨(雪)过程总体仍偏少,但比20世纪90年代明显增加,其中冬季各级别的次数均增加,而秋季4日以下、8日以上的连阴雨(雪)过程也增多,特别是8日以上的连阴雨(雪)过程,年、冬季、秋季均为各年代之首,尤其秋季平均每年偏多2.2站次。近50a来,宁夏连阴雨(雪)过程降水量及持续时间均呈下降趋势,进入21世纪明显回升,且8日以上连阴雨(雪)过程、过程降水量超过50mm的连阴雨均较80、90年代明显增加,尤其10日以上的过程总数及过程降水量在50.0~99.9mm的连阴雨所占比例均达到各年代之最;连阴雨(雪)过程的减少使得降水量总量减少,干旱灾害增加。
Study on Processes of Persistent Rainy or Snowy Events in Ningxia
Using daily precipitation and total cloud amount data from main weather station of Ningxia province since 1961,we defined the concept of persistent rainy or snowy events and analyzed their distribution characteristics and the evolution rule in recent 50 years.The frequency of persistent rainy or snowy events in Ningxia declined since 1961,especially the persistent rainy or snowy events lasting 5 to 7 days.The frequency of persistent rainy or snowy events in winter rose,and the variation degree of persistent rainy or snowy events in winter increased obviously in recent years,while the frequencies of persistent rainy or snowy events in the other seasons declined,especially in spring.The frequency of persistent rainy or snowy events was still few in the 21st century,but it obviously increased,especially in autumn and winter,compared to 1990s.The frequency of the persistent rainy or snowy events lasting more than 8 days increased obviously,and the annual,autumn and winter frequency was the most in different decades since 1961.In recent 50 years,the precipitation and lasting time of persistent rainy or snowy events decreased,but it obviously increased since 2001.The total times and the process precipitation remarkably increased in 21st century compared to 1980s and 1990s.The total frequency of persistent rainy or snowy events lasting above 10 days and the proportion of process precipitation between 50 to 99.9 mm in 21st century were the most.The reduction of frequency of persistent rainy events led to the reduction of precipitation and the increase of drought.

persistent rainy or snowy eventslasting timeprecipitationdrought

冯建民、郑广芬、陈豫英、张智、王素艳、李欣

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宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室,宁夏银川750002

宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室,宁夏银川750002/宁夏气候中心,宁夏银川750002

连阴雨(雪) 持续时间 降水量 干旱

宁夏科技攻关项目中国气象局气候变化专项项目宁夏自然科学基金宁夏自然科学基金

KGX-12-09-02CCSF2011-26NZ10212Z09201

2011

中国沙漠
中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所

中国沙漠

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.504
ISSN:1000-694X
年,卷(期):2011.31(6)
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