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黄河流域城市产业结构生态化的时空格局及影响因素

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以黄河流域57个地级及以上城市为研究对象,从产业结构合理化、高级化以及可持续性3个维度对其2010-2019年的产业结构生态化水平进行测度,明确其时空演变格局,并运用Dagum基尼系数分解法揭示城市产业结构生态化水平的空间差异来源及贡献,在此基础上借助空间杜宾模型剖析产业结构生态化的影响因素.结果表明:(1)2010-2019年,城市产业结构生态化发展整体向好,年均增速为1.55%,上中下游地区城市产业结构生态化水平的波动趋势与整体基本保持一致.(2)城市空间分异特征明显,高值区主要集中在下游地区,低值区多位于中上游地区,总体呈下游—上游梯度递减的演变特征.(3)城市产业结构生态化水平的空间差异逐渐缩小,年均下降率为2.47%,超变密度是空间差异的主要来源,年均贡献率为46.45%.产业结构生态化水平相近地区空间相关性降低,空间聚集现象减弱.(4)金融发展水平和消费结构升级水平对城市产业结构生态化具有正向促进作用,政府调控水平、工业集聚水平和城镇化水平具有负向阻碍作用.同时,消费结构升级水平正向溢出效应明显,政府调控水平和工业集聚水平具有负向溢出效应.
Spatio-temporal pattern and influencing factors of urban ecological industrial structure in the Yellow River Basin
Taking 57 prefecture level and above cities in the Yellow River Basin as the research object,this pa-per measures the ecological level of industrial structure from 2010 to 2019 from the three dimensions of industrial structure rationalization,optimization and sustainability,clarifies its spatiotemporal evolution pattern,and re-veals the sources and contributions of the spatial differences of the urban ecological industrial structure in the Yel-low River Basin by applying the Dagum Gini coefficient decomposition method,based on which the influencing factors of the ecological industrial structure are dissected by the spatial Dubin model.The results showed that:(1)From 2010 to 2019,the overall development of the ecological development of urban industrial structure tend-ed to be better,with an average annual growth rate of 1.55%,and the fluctuating trend of the ecological level of urban industrial structure in the downstream,midstream and upstream was basically consistent with the whole.(2)The spatial differentiation of cities was obvious,with high-value areas mainly concentrated in the down-stream areas and low-value areas mostly located in the middle and upper reaches,and the overall evolution of"downstream-upstream"gradient was characterized by a decreasing gradient.(3)The spatial difference of urban ecological industrial structure was gradually narrowing,with an average annual decline rate of 2.47%,The inten-sity of transvariation was the main source of spatial difference,with an average annual contribution rate of 46.45%.The spatial correlation of areas with similar levels of ecological industrial structure decreased,and the phenomenon of spatial aggregation was weakened.(4)The financial development level and consumption struc-ture upgrading level had positive promoting effects on the urban ecological industrial structure,while govern-ment regulation level,industrial agglomeration level and urbanization level had negative hindering effects.Mean-while,consumption structure upgrading level had an obvious positive spillover effect,while government regula-tion level and industrial agglomeration level had negative spillover effects.

ecological industrial structurespatiotemporal patterninfluencing factorsthe Yellow River Basin

张明斗、杨雨欣

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东北财经大学经济学院,辽宁大连 116025

产业结构生态化 时空格局 影响因素 黄河流域

国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目辽宁省"兴辽英才计划"青年拔尖人才项目辽宁省经济社会发展研究项目

71804021XLYC200712320241slybkt-012

2024

中国沙漠
中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所

中国沙漠

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.504
ISSN:1000-694X
年,卷(期):2024.44(3)