首页|黄河流域新型城镇化与水生态环境耦合协调的时空格局及影响因素

黄河流域新型城镇化与水生态环境耦合协调的时空格局及影响因素

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厘清城镇化与水生态环境之间的耦合关系及其影响因素,对促进黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展具有重要意义.在理论揭示新型城镇化与水生态环境耦合作用机理的基础上,利用耦合协调度及空间计量模型分析二者耦合协调的时空格局及其影响因素.结果表明:(1)黄河流域新型城镇化和水生态环境耦合协调度趋好但总体水平低,总体由濒临失调逐步发展到初级协调,下游耦合协调发展水平高于中上游.(2)黄河流域新型城镇化和水生态环境耦合协调度具有显著的空间溢出效应,影响强度下游>中游>上游.(3)黄河流域新型城镇化和水生态环境耦合协调发展的影响因素方面,政府能力正向推动本地但对邻近地区产生负向溢出效应,环境规制、人口集聚抑制本地耦合协调发展,资本积累通过正向溢出效应对全流域产生正向影响但对下游产生负向影响,工业化通过负向溢出效应阻碍全流域耦合协调发展,开放型、创新型经济仅对中游产生正向带动和外溢效应.
Spatio-temporal pattern and influencing factors of the coupling coordination of new urbanization and water ecological environment in the Yellow River Basin
Clarifying the coupling relationship between urbanization and water ecological environment and its influencing factors has great significance for promoting the ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin.Based on the analysis of the coupling mechanism between new urbanization and water ecological environment,this paper analyses the spatial and temporal pattern of the coupling between the two sys-tems and its driving factors by using the coupling coordination degree and spatial econometric model.The main conclusions are as follows:(1)From 2006 to 2021,the coupling coordination degree between new urbanization and water ecological environment in the Yellow River Basin had improved steadily but were overall low,which had risen from the stage of near imbalance to the stage of primary coordinated in general.Meanwhile,the cou-pling coordination degree of the downstream is greater than that of the middle reaches and upstream.(2)The cou-pling coordination degree has a significant spatial spillover effect,and the influence strength of the spatial spill-over effect from high to low is the lower,middle and upper reaches of the Yellow River respectively.(3)Local government capacity has a positive promotion on the local coupling coordination but a negative spillover effect on that of neighboring cities;Local population agglomeration and environmental regulation negatively affect its own coupling coordination;Capital accumulation positively influences the coupling coordination of the whole study area through positive spillover effect,while with a negative influence in the downstream;The level of in-dustrialization hinders the coupling coordination development in the whole basin through negative spillover ef-fect;The open and innovative economy has positive impact and spillover effect only on the middle reaches.Dif-ferentiated strategies should be adopted to promote the coupling coordination development of new urbanization and water ecological environment across the Yellow River Basin.

new urbanizationwater ecological environmentcoupling coordinationspatial Durbin modelYellow River Basin

张胜武、葛宇梦、李小胜、宋马林

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安徽财经大学工商管理学院,安徽蚌埠 233030

安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,安徽蚌埠 233030

新型城镇化 水生态环境 耦合协调 空间杜宾模型 黄河流域

国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目国家社会科学基金一般项目安徽省高等学校科学研究重大项目(哲学社会科学)

719340017187300120BJL1032023AH040043

2024

中国沙漠
中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所

中国沙漠

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.504
ISSN:1000-694X
年,卷(期):2024.44(3)