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旅游社区应对自然灾害的韧性评价指标体系构建

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自然灾害是旅游业可持续发展的重要影响因素.在全球气候变化胁迫下,加强旅游业及其社区单元的韧性评价研究是促进旅游业健康发展的重要基础工作.本研究基于DPSIR模型5个维度构建包括9个二级指标、20个三级指标的旅游社区应对自然灾害的韧性评价指标体系,并运用AHP群决策法对其赋权;以地震后海螺沟旅游社区为例,对其2020-2022年的韧性进行了评价分析和实证研究,检验指标体系的适用性.结果表明:(1)指标权重分析显示,对旅游社区自然灾害韧性影响最大的指标主要包括自然灾害造成的伤亡人数、灾害防范设施完备程度、灾害应急预案完善程度及灾害预警装置数量.(2)2020-2022年海螺沟旅游社区韧性持续性较好,韧性水平逐年上升,受2022年9月5日泸定Ms 6.8级地震影响,海螺沟当年驱动力系统和压力系统水平下降,但状态系统、影响系统、响应系统水平上升.(3)指标值变化幅度分析显示,社区经济水平下降是导致海螺沟韧性降低的主要因素,应急能力的提升是导致海螺沟韧性上升的主要因素.本研究构建的旅游社区应对自然灾害的韧性评价指标体系具有成熟的理论、方法基础,对不同类型旅游社区具有一定的适用性,有助于旅游社区评估其自然灾害风险应对能力、改善灾害风险应对治理.
Construction of the evaluation index system for natural hazards coping in tourism communities
Natural hazards are significant factors affecting the sustainable development of the tourism industry.Under the pressure of global climate change,strengthening the resilience as-sessment of the tourism industry and its community components constitutes a critical founda-tional work for promoting the healthy development of tourism.This study constructs a resil-ience assessment index system for tourism communities in response to natural disasters based on the DPSIR(Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response)model,encompassing nine secondary indicators and twenty tertiary indicators.The analytic hierarchy process(AHP)group decision-making method is employed for weighting these indicators.Taking the Hailuogou tourism com-munity after an earthquake as a case study,this research evaluates its resilience from 2020 to 2022 through analysis and empirical investigation,thus testing the applicability of the index system.The results indicate:(1)The analysis of indicator weights shows that the factors that have the greatest impact on the natural disaster resilience of tourism communities include the number of casualties caused by disasters,the completeness of disaster precautions,the perfec-tion of disaster emergency plans,and the number of disaster warning devices.(2)The resilience of the Hailuogou tourism community has shown continuous improvement from 2020 to 2022 and the level of resilience rises year by year.The Ms 6.8 Luding earthquake on September 5,2022,negatively impacted the driving and pressure system scores that year,but resilience scores for the state,impact,and response systems increased.(3)Fluctuations in the indicators reveal that economic decline is a primary cause for the reduced community resilience of Hailuo-gou,while the enhancement of emergency capabilities is a key factor for its improved resil-ience.The index system developed in this study for assessing the resilience of tourism commu-nities facing natural hazards has a solid theoretical and methodological foundation and is appli-cable to various types of tourism communities.It aids in evaluating their capacity to respond to natural disaster risks and improves disaster risk coping governance.

tourism community resiliencenature hazardsindex systemDPSIR modelAHP group decisionHailuogou

田兵伟、贾培静、谭旭东、周睿茜、蔡一洋、毛映卫

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四川大学-香港理工大学灾后重建与管理学院,成都 610207

四川大学商学院,成都 610064

旅游社区韧性 自然灾害 指标体系 DPSIR模型 AHP群决策分析 海螺沟

科技部外专项目四川省哲学社会科学重点研究基地项目(2023)

DL2023164001LSR23A09

2023

中国生态旅游

中国生态旅游

CSCD
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2023.13(5)
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