Evolution and driving factors of international tourism development pattern along the Belt and Road
With the construction of the Belt and Road,international tourism,as an important part of tourism and international service trade,has become an important carrier to promote economic development and cultural exchanges along the Belt and Road.This paper constructs an index to measure the development level of international tourism,analyzes the evolution trend of international tourism along the Belt and Road from 2008 to 2019,and explores the influencing factors and their spatial differences by applying GTWR model.The results show that:(1)The international tourism along the Belt and Road presents a slow decline and then a gradual increase,and the development gap first expands significantly and then narrows slowly.The Belt and Road Initiative has effectively slowed down the decline of the international tourism development level,and plays a vital role in narrowing the development gap.(2)The development of international tourism along the Belt and Road presents a spatial pattern of"high in China,Russia and Poland,high in the belt of West Asia-Southeast Asia and low in inland areas".(3)The key driving factor for the development of international tourism along the Belt and Road is aviation system level.The core driving factors are the level of economic development and the ability to attract foreign investment,followed by foreign-trade dependence,electricity and communication system level,and the government regulatory quality.(4)The main influencing factors in different regions vary dramatically:aviation system level and the ability to attract foreign investment are core driving factors in all regions.The main driving factors of the Chinese mainland and Hong Kong,Macao are the level of economic development,the level of network and communication systems;Mongolia and Russia,Central Asia,West Asia and North Africa are the level of economic development,foreign-trade dependence and the level of electricity system;Southeast Asia and South Asia are foreign-trade dependence,government regulatory quality,network and communication system level;Central and Eastern Europe are the level of economic development,the government regulatory quality,electricity and network system level.
the Belt and Road Initiativeinternational tourismspatiotemporal patterninflu-encing factorsGTWR model
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