实体工业作用下人类发展水平对出境旅游的影响——基于"一带一路"沿线44个国家面板数据的实证分析

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中文摘要：实体工业是人类发展水平提升的重要驱动,出境旅游是衡量人类发展水平的重要指标之一,但三者的关系尚未得到证实.文章选取"一带一路"沿线44个国家为样本,以人类发展指数(Human Develop-ment Index,HDI)为解释变量,以出境旅游率为被解释变量,以实体工业指数为控制变量,以价格水平指数为调节变量,通过静态和动态面板模型分析实体工业影响下人类发展水平对出境旅游的影响机制.研究发现,出境旅游率与以上变量之间均存在显著相关性,其中人类发展指数和实体工业指数均对出境旅游率产生显著正向影响,而价格水平指数的倒数(相对旅游价格)对出境旅游率存在一定负向影响.结果表明,"一带一路"沿线国家实体工业的发展、市场价格的稳定和人类发展水平的提升可以提升居民的出境旅游意愿.研究对"一带一路"沿线国家间坚定推进实体工业、民生产业和旅游交流可持续合作具有重要理论和现实参考意义.

外文标题：The impact of the Human Development Index on outbound tourism under the role of entity industry:Empirical analysis based on panel data from 44 countries along the Belt and Road

外文摘要：Entity industry is an important driver for human development,and outbound tourism is one of the important indicators to measure human development level.However,the relationship between the entity industry,outbound tourism and human development level has not been confirmed yet.This paper selects 44 countries along the Belt and Road as samples,takes the Human Development Index(HDI)as the explanatory variable,the outbound tourism rate as the explained variable,the Entity Industrial Index as the control variable,and the Price Level Index as the regulating variable,adopts the dynamic panel model to analyze the mechanism of human development level on outbound tourism under the influence of real industry.The study found a significant correlation between the outbound tourism rate and the above variables,and indicated that both the Human Development Index and the Entity Industrial Index have a significant positive impact on the outbound tourism rate,while the reciprocal of the Price Level Index(relative tourism prices)has a certain negative impact on the outbound tourism rate.The results show that the development of entity industries,the stability of market prices and the improvement of human development level in the countries along the Belt and Road can enhance the willingness of residents to travel abroad.The study has important theoretical and practical impications for the countries along the Belt and Road to firmly promote sustainable cooperation in entity economy,livelihood industries and tourism exchanges.

外文关键词：

entity industryHuman Development Index(HDI)outbound tourismcountries along the Belt and Roadpanel dataempirical research

作者：

查瑞波、徐祉杭、任柯颖

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作者单位：

福建师范大学文化旅游与公共管理学院,福州 350117

智慧旅游福建省高校重点实验室,福州 350117

福建师范大学地理科学学院,福州 350007

关键词：

实体工业人类发展指数(HDI) 出境旅游 "一带一路"沿线国家面板数据

基金：

国家自然科学基金国家留学基金福建省创新战略项目福建省科协科技创新智库课题研究项目

项目编号：

422012672021083500512023R0031FJKX-2022XKB005

出版年：

2023

DOI：

10.12342/zgstly.20230137

中国生态旅游

CSCD

ISSN：

年,卷(期)：2023.13(6)

参考文献量38