首页|基于灰色关联分析和随机森林模型的北京市子宫平滑肌瘤患者住院费用影响因素研究

基于灰色关联分析和随机森林模型的北京市子宫平滑肌瘤患者住院费用影响因素研究

扫码查看
目的:分析北京市DRG试点医院与非DRG试点医院的子宫平滑肌瘤患者住院费用内部结构和影响因素,为下一阶段公立医院改革提供参考.方法:收集北京市5家DRG试点医院和124家非DRG试点医院2015-2021年的统计报表数据,运用灰色关联分析研究各明细费用与例均总费用的关联程度,运用随机森林模型分析住院患者例均总费用的影响因素.结果:灰色关联分析结果显示,DRG试点医院组和非DRG试点医院组中与住院患者费用关联度最高的分别是例均手术费和例均药品费,关联度最低的均是例均检查费.随机森林模型分析结果显示,DRG试点医院组中住院患者费用影响因素重要性排名前2位是耗占比和平均住院日,非DRG试点医院组的平均住院日、手术治疗费用占比和耗占比的重要性高于其他因素.结论:DRG付费有利于优化子宫平滑肌瘤住院患者的费用结构,平均住院日、耗占比和手术治疗费用占比是影响子宫平滑肌瘤住院患者费用的重要因素,公立医院未来仍需继续优化费用结构,"节流"与"开源"并重,利用DRG付费及其配套措施提升医疗服务效率,在全流程、各环节加强耗材治理和赋能医院与医务人员.
Research on the Influencing Factors of Hospitalization Expense of Patients with Uterine Leiomyoma in Beijing Based on Grey Correlation Analysis and Random Forest Model
Objective:To investigate the internal structure and determinants of hospitalization expenses for uterine leiomyoma patients in DRG pilot and non-DRG pilot hospitals in Beijing,to fumish insights for the forthcoming phase of public hospital reform.Methods:The statistical data of 5 DRG pilot hospitals and 124 non-DRG pilot hospitals in Beijing from 2015 to 2021 were collected to analyze the correlation degree between each detail expense and the average hospitalization expense by using grey correlation analysis,and the influencing factors of the average hospitalization expense of hospitalized patients by using random forest model.Results:The results of the grey correlation analysis revealed that the highest correlations affecting hospitalization expense in the DRG pilot hospital group and the non-DRG pilot hospital group were the average expense in each surgical treatment and the average drug costs for each patient,respectively,and the lowest was the average expense of inspection and test in each patient.The results of random forest model showed that the top two influencing factors of DRG pilot hospital group were consumption ratio and the average length of hospitalization,while the average length of hospitalization,surgical treatment expense ratio and consumption ratio are more important than other influential factors of non-DRG pilot hospital group.Conclusion:DRG payment is conducive to optimizing the hospitalization expense structure of uterine leiomyoma hospitalized patients.The average length of hospitalization,consumption ratio,and surgical treatment expense ratio are important factors affecting the hospitalization expense of uterine leiomyoma hospitalized patients.Public hospitals should continue to optimize the expense structure in the future,pay equal attention to"reducing expenditure"and"open source",implement DRG payment and its supporting measures to enhance the efficiency of medical services,reinforce the comprehensive management of consumables,and empower hospitals and medical personnel.

Diagnosis Related Grouphospitalization expensegrey correlation analysisrandom forest model

王文娟、张宇薇、何绍斌、肖杰灵、贾一凡、蔡媛青、胡洋溢

展开 >

中央财经大学政府管理学院 北京 100081

天津大学管理与经济学部 天津 300072

中国社会科学院中国社会科学评价研究院 北京 100732

疾病诊断相关分组 住院费用 灰色关联分析 随机森林模型

国家社会科学基金国家社会科学基金青年项目中国社科院青年人文社会科学研究中心社会调研项目中国社科院青启计划

23BGL25322CGL0522024QNZX0282024QQJH010

2024

中国卫生经济
中国卫生经济学会,卫生部卫生经济研究所

中国卫生经济

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.524
ISSN:1003-0743
年,卷(期):2024.43(8)