Analysis of the Disease Burden and Trend of Asthma in China from 1990 to 2021
Objective:To analyze the disease burden of asthma in China and its changing trends,providing references for the formulation and adjustment of relevant prevention and control policies. Methods:Using the data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 (GBD 2021) study,it conducted an analysis of asthma prevalence,mortality,and disease burden. An age period cohort (APC) model was used to analyze the age period cohort effect of disease burden,and a time series model was used to analyze the asthma disease burden trend in China by 2030. Results:From 1990 to 2021,the burden of asthma in China showed a decreasing trend. The APC model showed that the incidence of asthma reaches its peak in the 5-9 age group,with a decreasing trend in the period effect. The birth cohort 1915-1919 group and 2010-2014 group had the highest risk of asthma. It is expected that the prevalence,mortality,and DALYs rates of asthma in China will all show a downward trend by 2030. Conclusion:The burden of asthma in China is showing a downward trend,but the prevention and control situation is still severe. The accessibility and affordability of treatment drugs are important means to ensure the effectiveness of asthma prevention and control. It needs to build a"promote prevention,diagnosis,control,and treatment"service system to provide comprehensive health care for asthma patients.