首页|急诊心肺复苏患者临床分析及院内自主循环恢复预测模型的建立

急诊心肺复苏患者临床分析及院内自主循环恢复预测模型的建立

扫码查看
目的 筛选院内心肺复苏(CPR)患者自主循环恢复(ROSC)的独立影响因素并建立预测模型,探讨其临床价值.方法 采用回顾性病例对照研究方法,收集 2023 年 1 月至 7 月空军军医大学唐都医院急诊科收治并实施CPR的心搏骤停患者的临床资料,包括一般资料、血生化指标、心搏骤停主要原因、是否为可除颤心律、入院至CPR时间、是否实现ROSC等.比较是否实现ROSC两组患者的临床资料;采用二元多因素Logistic回归分析筛选出院内CPR患者ROSC的独立影响因素,并根据上述影响因素建立ROSC预测模型;绘制受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线),评估该模型对ROSC的预测价值.结果 共 235 例患者在急诊科接受CPR,其中院内CPR 153例(占65.11%),院外CPR 82例(占34.89%);ROSC比例为30.21%(71/235).所有患者中,以年龄为 61~80 岁人群居多[占 40.43%(95/235)],且心源性疾病为心搏骤停的主要原因[32.77%(77/235)].153 例院内CPR患者中,非ROSC 89 例,ROSC 64 例,ROSC比例为 41.83%;与非ROSC组比较,ROSC组患者血乳酸(Lac)、N末端脑钠肽前体(NT-proBNP)、Lac/白蛋白(Alb)比值(LAR)及非可除颤心律比例更低[Lac(mmol/L):5.50(2.33,9.65)比 7.10(3.50,13.35),NT-proBNP(μg/L):0.87(0.20,8.68)比 3.00(0.58,20.17),LAR:0.14(0.07,0.29)比 0.19(0.10,0.43),非可除颤心律比例:68.75%(44/64)比 93.26%(83/89)],实际碱剩余(ABE)、Alb更高[ABE(mmol/L):-3.95(-12.75,0.23)比-7.50(-13.50,-3.35),Alb(g/L):38.13±7.03 比 34.09±7.81],入院至CPR时间更短[h:3.25(1.00,14.00)比 8.00(2.00,27.50)],差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05).二元多因素Logistic回归分析显示,LAR[优势比(OR)=0.037,95%可信区间(95%CI)为 0.005~0.287]、非可除颤心律(OR=0.145,95%CI为 0.049~0.426)、入院至CPR时间(OR=0.984,95%CI为 0.972~0.997)是院内CPR患者ROSC的独立影响因素(均P<0.05);根据以上影响因素构建ROSC预测模型,ROC曲线分析显示,该模型预测院内CPR患者ROSC的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为 0.757(95%CI为 0.680~0.834),约登指数为 0.429,敏感度为 76.6%,特异度为 66.3%.结论 LAR、非可除颤心律和入院至CPR时间是院内CPR患者ROSC的独立影响因素;根据上述影响因素构建的ROSC预测模型对于院内CPR患者ROSC具有良好的预测价值,能指导临床医生及早通过相关指标评估患者预后.
Clinical analysis of patients with cardiopulmonary resuscitation in emergency department and establishment of prediction model of restoration of spontaneous circulation in hospital
Objective To screen the independent influencing factors of restoration of spontaneous circulation(ROSC)in patients after cardiopulmonary resuscitation(CPR)and establish a predictive model,and explore its clinical value.Methods A retrospective case control study was conducted.The clinical data of cardiac arrest patients admitted to the emergency department of Tangdu Hospital of Air Force Military Medical University and received CPR from January to July 2023 were analyzed,including general information,blood biochemical indicators,main cause of cardiac arrest,whether it was defibrillation rhythm,duration from admission to CPR,and whether ROSC was achieved.The clinical data between the patients whether achieved ROSC or not were compared.The binary multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the independent influencing factors of ROSC in in-hospital CPR patients.According to the above influencing factors,the ROSC prediction model was established,and the receiver operator characteristic curve(ROC curve)was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of the model for ROSC.Results A total of 235 patients who received CPR in the emergency department were enrolled,including 153 cases(65.11%)of in-hospital CPR and 82 cases(34.89%)of out-of-hospital CPR.The ROSC ratio was 30.21%(71/235).Among all patients,the majority were aged 61-80 years[40.43%(95/235)],and cardiogenic disease was the main cause of cardiac arrest[32.77%(77/235)].Among 153 patients with in-hospital CPR,89 were non-ROSC and 64 were ROSC with ROSC rate of 41.83%.Compared with the non-ROSC group,the patients in the ROSC group had lower blood lactic acid(Lac),N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide(NT-proBNP),Lac/albumin(Alb)ratio(LAR),and ratio of non-defibrillation rhythm[Lac(mmol/L):5.50(2.33,9.65)vs.7.10(3.50,13.35),NT-proBNP(μg/L):0.87(0.20,8.68)vs.3.00(0.58,20.17),LAR:0.14(0.07,0.29)vs.0.19(0.10,0.43),non-defibrillation rhythm ratio:68.75%(44/64)vs.93.26%(83/89)],higher actual base excess(ABE)and Alb[ABE(mmol/L):-3.95(-12.75,0.23)vs.-7.50(-13.50,-3.35),Alb(g/L):38.13±7.03 vs.34.09±7.81],and shorter duration from admission to CPR[hours:3.25(1.00,14.00)vs.8.00(2.00,27.50)],the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.05).Binary multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that LAR[odds ratio(OR)= 0.037,95%confidence interval(95%CI)was 0.005-0.287],non-defibrillation rhythm(OR = 0.145,95%CI was 0.049-0.426),and duration from admission to CPR(OR = 0.984,95%CI was 0.972-0.997)were independent influencing factors for ROSC in hospitalized CPR patients(all P<0.05).Based on the above influencing factors,a ROSC prediction model was constructed through regression analysis results.The ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve(AUC)for predicting ROSC in in-hospital CPR patients was 0.757(95%CI was 0.680-0.834),Yoden index was 0.429,sensitivity was 76.6%,and specificity was 66.3%.Conclusions LAR,non-defibrillation rhythm and duration from admission to CPR were independent influencing factors for ROSC in patients with in-hospital CPR.The ROSC prediction model established based on the above influencing factors has a good predictive value for ROSC of CPR patients in hospital,and can guide clinicians to evaluate the prognosis of patients through relevant indicators as early as possible.

Cardiac arrestCardiopulmonary resuscitation in hospitalRestoration of spontaneous circulation

刘军芳、段小霞、马志琴、符浩雪、武波、王琦

展开 >

空军军医大学唐都医院急诊科,陕西西安 710038

心搏骤停 院内心肺复苏 自主循环恢复

2024

中华危重病急救医学
中华医学会

中华危重病急救医学

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:3.049
ISSN:2095-4352
年,卷(期):2024.36(1)
  • 4