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广西蔬菜生产时空变化及影响因素分析

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基于广西蔬菜省(区)域、市域及县域生产数据,运用产业集中度指数、重心迁移、优势指数等方法对广西蔬菜生产时空变化进行研究,运用灰色关联度方法对广西蔬菜产量的影响因素进行分析。结果表明,广西蔬菜播种面积、产量和单产水平逐年提高,但单产与全国平均仍存在较大差距;蔬菜生产集中度较高,产量重心整体表现为向南迁移;县域蔬菜生产能力有不同程度提高,具有比较优势的县域逐渐增多;蔬菜生产的高影响因素包括农村居民人均农业经营收入、第一产业增加值、等级公路里程、蔬菜播种面积、蔬菜单产、蔬菜产值、年日照时数和年平均气温。提出应根据时空变化情况和相关影响因素制定蔬菜产业的发展政策。
Analysis of spatiotemporal changes and influencing factors in vegetable production in Guangxi
Based on the production data of vegetable regions,cities,and counties,this study uses methods such as indus-try concentration index,center of gravity shift,and advantage index to investigate the spatiotemporal changes in vegetable production in Guangxi.The grey relational analysis method is used to analyze the influencing factors of vegetable yield in Guangxi.The results indicate that the vegetable planting area,yield,and unit yield level in Guangxi have been increasing year by year,but there is still a significant gap between the unit yield and the national average.The concentration of vege-table production is relatively high,and the overall focus of yield is shifting southward.The vegetable production capacity of counties has been improved to varying degrees,and the number of counties with comparative advantages is gradually increasing.The high influencing factors of vegetable production include per capita agricultural operating income of rural residents,added value of the primary industry,mileage of graded highways,vegetable sowing area,vegetable yield per unit area,vegetable output value,annual sunshine hours,and annual average temperature.Based on the above analysis,the authors propose that development policies for the vegetable industry should be formulated according to spatiotemporal changes and relevant influencing factors.

VegetableGuangxiSpatiotemporal changesInfluencing factorsCounty

黄艳芳、李小红、屈婷婷、宁夏、孔令孜

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广西壮族自治区农业科学院农业科技信息研究所 南宁 530007

蔬菜 广西 时空变化 影响因素 县域

2024

中国瓜菜
中国农业科学院郑州果树研究所

中国瓜菜

北大核心
影响因子:0.452
ISSN:1673-2871
年,卷(期):2024.37(12)