首页|祁连山国家公园及周边区域气候因素与人口变化对植被覆盖演化的时空分异特征研究

祁连山国家公园及周边区域气候因素与人口变化对植被覆盖演化的时空分异特征研究

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全球气候变化的大背景下,国家公园人口变化易对生态环境造成一定的扰动.目前研究尚缺少气候因素与人口变化对国家公园及周边区域植被覆盖演进机制的探讨.以祁连山国家公园及周边区域为例,基于像元分类及趋势分析阐释相关变量的时空演进机制,利用长时间栅格序列二阶偏相关分析验证降水、气温与人口变化对植被覆盖的显著相关性.结果表明,2012-2022年:1)研究区各变量像元占比基本稳定,植被覆盖中无植被及稀疏植被区有所波动,降水量中干旱区在2019年波动较大,气温变化总体较为平稳,人口变化中无人区占比呈逐步扩大趋势;2)植被覆盖、降水量及人口分布的变化趋势均呈现"东南高、西北低"的空间格局态势,气温变化以研究区控制区为主线呈较为复杂的高低聚集分布;3)研究区植被覆盖与降水、气温及人口分布主要在东南及西北片区呈现较为显著的相关性,其余片区显著性较弱.综合研究成果,建议未来国家公园需协同控制人口变化以精准协调相关区域内生态的可持续发展.
A Study on the Spatiotemporal Differentiation Characteristics of Population Changes and Vegetation Cover Evolution in Qilian Mountain National Park and Related Areas under the Context of Climate Change
Under the background of global climate change,population changes in national parks can cause certain disturbances to the ecological environment.Current research lacks discussion on the mechanisms of vegetation cover evolution in relation to climate factors and population changes in national parks and their surrounding areas.Using Qilian Mountain National Park and its surrounding region as an example,this study explains the spatiotemporal evolution mechanisms of relevant variables through pixel classification and trend analysis.A long-term raster sequence and second-order partial correlation analysis were used to verify the significant correlations between precipitation,temperature,and population changes with vegetation cover.The results show that during the period from 2012 to 2022:1)The proportion of pixels for each variable in the study area remained relatively stable.There were fluctuations in the areas with no vegetation and sparse vegetation.The arid regions in terms of precipitation saw significant fluctuations in 2019,while temperature changes were generally stable.In terms of population,the proportion of uninhabited areas gradually increased;2)The changes in vegetation cover,precipitation,and population distribution exhibited a spatial pattern of"high in the southeast,low in the northwest".Temperature changes showed a more complex distribution of high and low clusters along the mainline of the controlled area within the study region;3)Vegetation cover was significantly correlated with precipitation,temperature,and population distribution mainly in the southeastern and northwestern areas,with weaker correlations in other areas.Based on the comprehensive research findings,it is recommended that future national park management should coordinate population changes to precisely ensure sustainable ecological development in relevant areas.

landscape architectureQilian Mountain National Parkclimate factorpopulation changevegetation cover evolutiongateway communitytrend analysissecond-order partial correlation analysis

韦俊卿、贾丽奇

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澳门城市大学城市规划与设计系(澳门999078)

兰州理工大学设计艺术学院(兰州730050)

风景园林 祁连山国家公园 气候因素 人口变化 植被覆盖演化 入口社区 趋势分析 二阶偏相关分析

2024

中国园林
中国风景园林学会

中国园林

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.108
ISSN:1000-6664
年,卷(期):2024.40(12)