首页|长期护理保险对老年家庭支出行为的影响——基于健康风险冲击的视角

长期护理保险对老年家庭支出行为的影响——基于健康风险冲击的视角

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我国经济进入新发展阶段,需要不断扩大国内需求、激发消费潜能.随着国内老龄人口的增多,激发老年群体的消费潜能将对促进国内大循环有积极的作用.研究发现老年人的储蓄率会随着年龄增加而提高,其主要原因是为了预防健康风险冲击.而长期护理保险通过风险分散机制能够有效缓解健康风险冲击,对家庭消费支出行为产生影响.本研究利用CFPS(2012-2018年)数据,基于健康风险视角,探讨了长期护理保险政策对家庭消费支出决策的影响.分析结果显示,长期护理保险制度的实施使老年家庭储蓄率下降了原来水平的9.7%,同时显著增加了消费支出,有效促进了老年家庭消费,其中健康消费和文娱消费显著增加;健康风险越大,长期护理保险对于促进老年家庭消费的效果越明显.此外,长期护理保险政策对城镇以及高收入家庭消费的促进作用更显著.
The Impact of Long-Term Care Insurance on the Spending Behavior of Elderly Households——From the Perspective of Health Risk
The Chinese economy has entered a new stage of development,which requires expanding domestic demand and stimulating consumption potential.As the aging population increases,stimulating the consumption potential of the elderly will have a positive impact on promoting the domestic cycle.Studies have found that the saving rate of the elderly increases with age,and the main reason is to prevent health risk.Long-term care insurance can effectively alleviate health risk and affect household consumption expenditure behavior.From the perspective of health risk,the study applies the CFPS(2012-2018)data to explore the impact of long-term care insurance policies on household consumption expenditure decisions.The analysis results show that the implementation of the long-term care insurance system has reduced the savings rate of elderly households by 9.7%,while significantly increasing consumption expenditure,effectively promoting elderly household consumption,with a significant increase in health and entertainment consumption.The greater the health risk,the more significant the effect of long-term care insurance on promoting consumption in elderly households would be.In addition,long-term care insurance policy has a more significant effect on increasing the consumption in urban and high-income households.

long-term careelderly householdshealth riskconsumption expenditure

李民、倪晨旭、王震

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中国社会科学院大学经济学院 北京 102488

中国社会科学院经济研究所 北京 100836

长期护理 老年家庭 健康风险 消费支出

国家社会科学基金一般项目

17BJY216

2024

中国医疗保险
中国医疗保险研究会

中国医疗保险

影响因子:0.492
ISSN:1674-3830
年,卷(期):2024.(2)
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