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急性敌敌畏中毒的临床特征及预后危险因素分析

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目的 描述急性敌敌畏中毒的临床特征,并分析影响患者预后危险因素,以期为降低该类患者的病死率提供重要的救治指导意见和理论参考依据.方法 采用回顾性研究方法,收集 2019 年 11 月至 2023 年11 月阜阳市人民医院急诊科收治的急性敌敌畏中毒患者的临床资料,分析其临床中毒特征,根据预后将患者分为死亡组和生存组,比较不同预后两组患者上述临床特征的差异,对差异有统计学意义的指标进行二元多因素Logistic回归分析,筛选出影响急性敌敌畏中毒患者预后的独立危险因素,并绘制受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线),分析各危险因素对患者预后的预测价值.结果 82 例患者 22 例(26.83%)死亡,39 例(47.56%)出现毛细血管渗漏综合征(CLS),31 例(37.80%)发生急性呼吸衰竭,35 例(42.68%)发生休克.与生存组比较,死亡组患者年龄较大(岁:57.73±17.67比44.25±13.74),洗胃比例、胆碱酯酶活性、格拉斯哥昏迷评分(GCS)、白蛋白、pH值均明显降低[洗胃比例:81.82%(18/22)比 100.00%(60/60),胆碱酯酶活性(U/L):235.96(200.00,401.67)比 450.00(240.26,739.25),GCS(分):4.00(3.00,6.00)比 12.00(4.00,15.00),白蛋白(g/L):39.35±12.02 比45.21±4.51,pH值:7.14(7.04,7.26)比 7.38(7.28,7.40)],敌敌畏浓度、敌百虫浓度、序贯器官衰竭评分(SOFA)、急性生理学与慢性健康状况评分Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)、丙氨酸转氨酶(ALT)、血尿素氮(BUN)、血肌酐(SCr)、肌酸激酶同工酶(CK-MB)、血乳酸(Lac)以及并发急性呼吸衰竭、休克、CLS比例均明显升高[敌敌畏浓度(μg/L):271.00(49.25,908.25)比 64.00(16.75,211.00),敌百虫浓度[μg/L):1337.50(397.25,3614.00)比 494.00(71.00,1679.80),SOFA评分(分):12.50(9.00,15.50)比 2.00(0.00,6.75),APACHEⅡ评分(分):28.50(23.00,32.50)比 6.50(2.25,19.00),ALT(U/L):40.40(17.28,66.33)比 19.65(13.70,34.68),BUN(mmol/L):6.30±2.78 比5.05±1.48,SCr(μmol/L):87.59±39.67 比 58.87±14.85,CK-MB(U/L):164.80(86.13,284.85)比 116.05(81.65,160.60),Lac(mmol/L):3.00(1.68,9.15)比 1.20(1.00,2.40),并发急性呼吸衰竭比例:95.45%(21/22)比 33.33%(20/60),并发休克比例:100.00%(22/22)比 21.67%(13/60),CLS比例:95.45%(21/22)比 30.00%(18/60)],差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05).二元多因素Logistic回归分析显示,年龄、SOFA评分、CLS是影响敌敌畏中毒患者预后的独立危险因素[年龄:优势比(OR)=1.090,95%可信区间(95%CI)为 1.019~1.167;SOFA评分:OR=1.454,95%CI为 1.159~1.825;CLS:OR=122.473,95%CI为 7.954~1 885.787,均 P<0.05].ROC曲线分析显示:年龄、SOFA评分和CLS对急性敌敌畏中毒患者预后均有一定的预测价值[ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为 0.752、0.864、0.827,95%CI分别为0.622~0.881、0.767~0.960、0.735~0.919,约登指数分别为:0.453、0.681、0.655,敏感度分别为:63.6%、86.4%、95.5%,特异度分别为 81.7%、81.6%、70.0%,均P<0.05].结论 年龄、SOFA评分、CLS是影响急性敌敌畏中毒患者预后的独立危险因素,尤其CLS是影响患者预后最主要危险因素,在救治急性敌敌畏中毒过程中,应密切关注CLS的发生,并给予早期积极有效的治疗.
Analysis of clinical characteristics and prognosis risk factors for acute dichlorvos poisoning
Objective To describe the clinical characteristics of acute dichlorvos poisoning and analyzed the risk factors affecting patient prognosis,in order to provide important treatment guidance and theoretical reference for reducing the mortality of patients with acute dichlorvos poisoning.Methods A retrospective study method was conduct to collect the clinical data of patients admitted to the department of emergency of Fuyang People's Hospital from November 2019 to November 2023 and analyze the clinical poisoning characteristics.The patients were divided into death group and survival group according to the prognosis to compare the differences in the clinical characteristics of patients with different outcomes.This study conducted binary multifactor Logistic regression analysis of statistically significant indicators to select the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients,and drew the receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve to predict value of the risk factors on the prognosis.Results In 82 patients,22(26.83%)died,39(47.56%)developed capillary leak syndrome(CLS),31(37.80%)had acute respiratory failure,and 35(42.68%)had shock.Compared with the survival group,patients in the death group were older(years:57.73±17.67 vs.44.25±13.74),the proportion of gastric lavage,cholinesterase activity,Glasgow coma scale(GCS),albumin,pH value were all significantly decreased[proportion of gastric lavage:81.82%(18/22)vs.100.00%(60/60),cholinesterase activity(U/L):235.96(200.00,401.67)vs.450.00(240.26,739.25),GCS scores:4.00(3.00,6.00)vs.12.00(4.00,15.00),albumin(g/L):39.35±12.02 vs.45.21±4.51,pH value:7.14(7.04,7.26)vs.7.38(7.28,7.40)],dichlorvos concentration,dipterex concentration,sequential organ failure assessment(SOFA),acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ(APACHEⅡ),alanine transaminase(ALT),blood urea nitrogen(BUN),serum creatinine(SCr),MB isoenzyme of creatine kinase(CK-MB),blood lactate acid(Lac),and concurrent acute respiratory failure,shock,CLS ratio were significantly increased[dichlorvos concentration(μg/L):271.00(49.25,908.25)vs.64.00(16.75,211.00),dipterex concentration(μg/L):1 337.50(397.25,3 614.00)vs.494.00(71.00,1 679.80),SOFA score:12.50(9.00,15.50)vs.2.00(0.00,6.75),APACHEⅡscore:28.50(23.00,32.50)vs.6.50(2.25,19.00),ALT(U/L):40.40(17.28,66.33)vs.19.65(13.70,34.68),BUN(mmol/L):6.30±2.78 vs.5.05±1.48,SCr(μmol/L):87.59±39.67 vs.58.87±14.85,CK-MB(U/L):164.80(86.13,284.85)vs.116.05(81.65,160.60),Lac(mmol/L):3.00(1.68,9.15)vs.1.20(1.00,2.40),the proportion of concurrent acute respiratory failure:95.45%(21/22)vs.33.33%(20/60),proportion of concurrent shock:100.00%(22/22)vs.21.67%(13/60),proportion of concurrent CLS:95.45%(21/22)vs.30.00%(18/60)],the differences were statistically significant(all P<0.05).The binary multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age,SOFA score,and CLS were independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of dichlorvos poisoning[age:odds ratio(OR)=1.090,95%credibility interval(95%CI)was 1.019-1.167;SOFA score:OR=1.454,95%CI was 1.159-1.825;CLS:OR=122.473,95%CI was 7.954-1 885.787,all P<0.05].The ROC curve analysis shows that the age,SOFA score and CLS had a certain predictive value for the prognosis of patients with acute dichlorvos poisoning[area under the curve(AUC)were 0.752,0.864,0.827,95%CI were 0.622-0.881,0.767-0.960,0.735-0.919,the Youden index were 0.453,0.681,0.655,sensitivity were 63.6%,86.4%,95.5%,specific features were 81.7%,81.6%,70.0%,all P<0.05].Conclusions Age,SOFA score,and CLS are independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients with acute dichlorvos poisoning.In particular,CLS is the most important risk factor affecting the prognosis of patients.When managing acute dichlorvos poisoning,it is crucial to closely monitor the occurrence of CLS and administer prompt,proactive treatment.

DichlorvosPoisoningDipterexCapillary leak syndromePrognosisRisk factor

杨一红、马腾飞、王显、马丽、刘洪波、刘业成

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阜阳市人民医院急诊科,安徽阜阳 236004

阜阳市人民医院肾内科,安徽阜阳 236004

北京协和医院急诊科,北京 100730

敌敌畏 中毒 敌百虫 毛细血管渗漏综合征 预后 危险因素

安徽省阜阳市科技局重点研究与开发计划项目

FYZDYF2023LCYX034

2024

中国中西医结合急救杂志
中国中西医结合学会

中国中西医结合急救杂志

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.925
ISSN:1008-9691
年,卷(期):2024.31(2)
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