首页|基于最大熵模型和地理信息系统的白头翁生态适宜性区划研究

基于最大熵模型和地理信息系统的白头翁生态适宜性区划研究

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目的 探讨影响白头翁分布的生态环境因子并预测其在中国境内的潜在适生区,为白头翁野生资源评估及引种栽培提供参考。方法 收集230条白头翁样点分布信息,结合48个环境因子数据,应用最大熵(MaxEnt)模型和地理信息系统软件ArcGIS10。8,筛选影响其分布的主要环境因子并进行潜在适生区的可视化分析。结果 建立的模型预测精度符合要求(AUC>0。9),筛选出影响白头翁分布的主要环境因子为最湿季度降水量、11月份平均气温、海拔、温度季节性变化标准差、5月份降水量、8月份平均气温,累计贡献率为84。3%。预测结果显示,白头翁主要分布于我国华北和东北地区,总适生区面积约2 382 461。60 km2,其中低适生区面积约1263 497。00 km2,中适生区面积约582 879。20 km2,高适生区面积约536 085。40 km2,分别占总适生区面积的53。03%、24。47%、22。50%。结论 本研究模型分析结果与文献记载相符,可为白头翁资源的可持续利用提供理论参考。
Study on Ecological Suitability Distribution of Pulsatilla chinensis(Bge.)Regel Based on MaxEnt Model and GIS
Objective To explore the environmental factors influencing the distribution of Pulsatilla chinensis(Bge.)Regel and to predict its potential habitat in China;To provide reference for the assessment of its wild resources and the introduction of its cultivation.Methods Totally 230 pieces of information on the distribution of sample sites were collected.Combined with data of 48 environmental factors,MaxEnt model and ArcGIS 10.8 software were used to select the dominant environmental factors that affect their distribution,and visual analysis of potential suitable areas was conducted.Results The prediction accuracy of the established model met the requirements(AUC>0.9).The main environmental factors affecting the distribution of Pulsatilla chinensis(Bge.)Regel were the precipitation in the wettest season,the average temperature in November,the altitude,the standard deviation of the seasonal variation of temperature,the precipitation in May and the average temperature in August,with a cumulative contribution rate of 84.3%.The prediction results showed that it was mainly distributed in the North China and Northeast China,with a total suitability zone of about 2 382 461.60 km2,of which the low suitability zone was about 1 263 497.00 km2,the medium suitability zone was about 582 879.20 km2,and the high suitability zone was about 536 085.40 km2,accounting for approximately 53.03%,24.47%and 22.50%of the total suitability zone.Conclusion The results of the model are consistent with the literature records,which can provide theoretical reference for the sustainable utilization of Pulsatilla chinensis(Bge.)Regel.resources.

Pulsatilla chinensis(Bge.)RegelGISMaxEnt modelecological suitability distribution

吴莹莹、汪英俊、廖延武、刘顺

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南京中医药大学附属医院/江苏省中医院,江苏南京 210029

白头翁 地理信息系统 最大熵模型 生态适宜性区划

2025

中国中医药信息杂志
中国中医科学院中医药信息研究所

中国中医药信息杂志

影响因子:0.889
ISSN:1005-5304
年,卷(期):2025.32(1)