Accounting and Trend Analysis of Carbon Emissions from Transportation in Hebei Province
The transportation industry is the fundamental industry of the national economy and also a major contributor to carbon emissions.Taking Hebei province as the research area,the emission factor method is used to calculate the carbon emissions of various types of energy in the transportation sector from 2010 to 2020 in this paper,and fitting regression is used to predict the consumption of various types of energy from 2021 to 2025,and then the carbon emissions of different energy sources in the transportation sector from 2021 to 2025 are calculated based on this.The results show that from 2010 to 2020,the carbon emissions from transportation in Hebei province showed an overall upward trend,with an average annual growth rate of 2.1%;the proportion of carbon emissions from various energy sources had changed significantly,with an average annual decrease of 1.8%in diesel emissions and an average annual increase of 1.6%in electricity emissions;the carbon emission intensity of transportation in Hebei province showed a fluctuating downward trend.The prediction results show that from 2021 to 2025,the carbon emissions from transportation in Hebei province are still on the rise,and compared to 2020,the carbon emissions in 2025 will increase by 27.4%.Therefore,Hebei province needs to adapt to local conditions and take multiple measures to effectively control transportation carbon emissions,in order to achieve carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals.
transportationcarbon emissionsemission factor methodfitting regressionpredictionHebei Province
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据
